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[虚拟币交流]
比特币BTC再次突破 87,000 美元——以下是分析师对其价格的预测（转）
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比特币[BTC]在复活节反弹期间回升至8.7万美元，专家认为这与美元走弱有关。VanEck数字资产研究主管Mathew Sigel在最近的一份" G2 x8 F) Z, M5 E/ f! q
+ E3 y8 q; [$ }: f
报告中特别强调了这一论断。
0 C+ r( G$ W/ s* a' d7 F' k美元抛售推高比特币9 k$ m1 i# z! p) v
( u. D1 Y; y' P! }* X5 n) OGalaxy 研究主管 Alex Thorn 和 Bitwise 的 Andre Dragosch 也持有类似观点。事实上，Dragosch补充说，美元指数 (DXY) 跌至 2022 年以
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" W4 O) [! z; P( J. [2 N来的最低水平。
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: M9 C$ @) t- r: L. D“看起来，比特币正因美元持续疲软而上涨。美元指数刚刚触及2022年3月以来的最低水平。”# B) N; G. `6 B. w- I' O: `1 ^
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根据附图，比特币的价格走势与美元指数呈负相关。因此，在唐纳德·特朗普总统威胁解雇美联储主席杰罗姆·鲍威尔的推动下，美元指
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; P2 e' Z9 [$ q数走弱（从100美元跌至97美元），从而推动了加密货币的上涨。
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& Z' x, t$ m( p7 kAmberdata 的 Greg Madini 补充道，特朗普的举动“威胁到美联储的独立性”，而鲍威尔的继任者将引发通胀。Magadini补充道，这将推
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高黄金和比特币的价格。
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下周我们将迎来美联储褐皮书发布，多位美联储理事也将发表讲话。任何威胁美联储独立性的言论都可能成为黄金和比特币上涨的催化
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剂。
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/ R e' p- B/ m. I这里值得指出的是，黄金价格在周一再创历史新高（ATH），这是过去几周脱钩之后首次出现与BTC的正相关性。
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8 D$ j5 v% t2 [0 R( m7 F& ^: n这意味着，在关税不确定性的背景下，投资者纷纷涌向黄金和比特币（BTC）作为“避险资产”。大多数交易员和分析师都承认BTC突破4 R" x. V' m- \0 e7 E/ t
0 d& P( r/ R( d# x) R, F8 x了8.7万美元。
8 [- d+ }1 Y4 }& t$ x- O8 J! S. J' F; J8 {7 U4 n# O
然而，BTC 的上涨是由低现货交易量推动的，需要在美国市场开盘时再次确认。匿名分析师 StockMoney Lizards警告称，
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“突破不错，但成交量不大。肯定需要确认。无论如何，你现在还不应该太兴奋。”: e' p& L( `( y/ S) `* P5 G
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7 c3 [' G) ^0 J. R3 e分析师马修·海兰德 (Matthew Hyland)表示，比特币的持续复苏将取决于突破 89,000 美元。5 o, c1 b8 S" p2 o v: o& A
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“#BTC 多头现在的唯一目标是突破 89,000 美元，创造并确认更高的高点，并确认下行趋势的结束。”
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* v. i, ?. D3 ^9 s4 M# ^8 QCryptoQuant 进一步支持了市场复苏的前景，指出当前的价格走势是正常的回调，而非完整的熊市周期。该公司引用了“链上交; f6 l/ h0 l9 A V7 J2 c8 ~
: U; e" ^% i0 e; _! p易者已实现盈亏保证金”指标来佐证这一观点。
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