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[lastpost] => 2769212 比特币 10.9 万美元的价格打破了 28 恐惧指数，引发了反弹希望（转） 1758892693 徐子
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比特币必须突破8.9万！分析师关键信号：未能确认底部恐引发新一轮暴跌
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% i& V- @( x' w) a周四，比特币反弹至83000美元附近后喘息，多头加密货币分析师Matthew Hyland表示，比特币必须确保本周收盘价高于89000美元才能确认底部已经过去，4 p1 v9 U+ {3 ]( R2 s$ x" t" `
+ F+ _' F& Q( L8 f5 r2 {否则可能引发新一轮暴跌。% g) `2 G H0 t$ x* _2 Z
( l+ ^" x3 B6 WHyland认为89000美元水平至关重要，根据CoinGlass数据显示，比特币跌破89000美元将清算约16亿美元的空头仓位。
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8 o% @6 L: D! ?, f他警告称，如果比特币未能收于该水平之上，其价格可能跌至74000美元至69000美元之间，这是比特币自2024年11月以来从未达到的水平。
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他说：“在未来几周或几个月内，比特币可能会在某个支撑位测试这一下限。”0 l+ q) R; b& A p
) O" N- x) e3 W+ G0 t' C0 x' k1 f' z* @“如果我们的周收盘价确实高于这一区域，我认为比特币的低点已经到来，我们不会跌到这个区域，”他说。' z! |5 M' |- b; b C; i, C
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Hyland也强调，当比特币突破阻力位时，通常会导致进一步上涨。7 S" [ S- l7 [& {
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然而，由于宏观经济因素，美国对比特币的需求近期一直在下降。
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- a/ L( G* K* I n b+ I6 GCryptoQuant表示，上周比特币的需求与前一周相比下降103000枚比特币，这是自2024年7月以来最快的收缩速度。+ L. L% C9 J3 N7 m$ L9 u( A$ [2 W
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该机构解释说，美国比特币需求近期下降是由于美国通胀率的不确定性，以及美国总统特朗普于2月1日征收的关税。) X* o% ?* M- T& W Q( l! b
8 i0 w' H: ]; U3 y3月7日，美联储主席鲍威尔重申不急于调整利率。
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& Z. C! j! A8 Q( h; R) g i/ S华人分析师Phyrex Ni表示，相隔四个工作日后，比特币的未平合约仍然没有大幅上升的迹象，说明现在的投资者还是处于迷茫的阶段，对多空并没有完全的把握。
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他指出，尽管比特币最近一段时间价格的表现并不是很好，但是93000至98000美元 之间的密集筹码区仍然没有出现崩溃的问题，这部分的投资者离场已经越来越少。" K( T: a) @+ w
, N% E0 U ?! _' A0 u0 P“尽管可能在重新回到95000美元的时候会有一些压力，但在这之前对于价格的影响仍然是超短期投资者为主，从换手的数据中也能看出。”
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