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[lastpost] => 2769734 Tether与Circle遭怒批靠储备吃利息却“不分红”，Tether回应：USDT真正价值在抗通胀 1759299515 rainwang
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BTC上涨至7万美元，扭转了网络基本面 ；$ I6 I8 J, V5 r; w7 q- B4 \4 p, l8 P" j
尽管存在短期调整和可能的盘整，但这是一个看涨信号吗 ；) {( \( V/ u4 m+ z9 g
比特币[BTC]网络基础知识转变积极的10月，分析师首次认为这是该资产中期的积极信号 ；! I' _) P* a* x ?1 Q
+ v. |- w6 z8 C- m. i$ i
根据CryptoQuant的数据积极的在牛市期间，网络指标是一个熟悉的趋势，尽管可能会出现调整或整合，但这表明该资产可能会出现积极的结果 ；: ]9 Z+ a3 m+ d% c3 N; ]7 D
! A( m; Z% y( c+ o在最近上涨至7万美元后，30天内活跃BTC地址的平均数量飙升至100万大关。它达到了6月份的最后一个水平，表明在上周的抛售中，人们对该资产表现出了极大的兴趣 ；$ s! W5 I* H9 I+ n' d& ^/ q4 s
* ]6 Y. b; Z, ^& ^4 A下一步BTC上涨？
6 ]( p% j5 i2 R3 a; V1 N$ U' a K9 _9 q采矿部门和网络费用也出现了类似的积极趋势。值得注意的是开采难度创下历史新高，表明BTC矿工之间对奖励的激烈竞争，这是BTC内在价值的积极催化剂 ；3 m- N% l' X. w( [2 p. m! z
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此外，截至发稿时，BTC的表观需求或生产和库存计划之间的差异飙升至25.6万BTC的6个月高点。在大多数情况下，需求的飙升总是伴随着BTC价格的上涨 ；
" J8 i7 c( d. d+ e% q) f, J0 g3 X1 R: r- Y
尽管有上述积极的催化剂，但随着美国大选的临近，分析师对BTC价格的预测喜忧参半。8 B3 i) Q4 S& h7 J3 Y! k" w
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Blockworks分析师Felix Jauvin警告在选举结束之前，BTC可能会受到区间限制 ；5 G6 o9 E- M( c3 L7 ?& @% v
+ u# g6 T* L, f) {) i
“在选举临近之际，没有人想成为这里风险的边际买家。在选举结束之前，可能只是一大笔钱……：
3 F- G9 O; V N7 V0 Q& b+ T( R$ G0 c S# L/ Z
另一位专家，贾斯汀·比尔内特，呼应了他的谨慎情绪，理由是鲸鱼对抓住最近周中的下跌缺乏兴趣 ；
% H* u, \7 ~. k) [9 o5 b1 W- Y$ z" T' P0 j6 B" f% R7 C; _
自10月17日以来，追踪鲸鱼相对于散户的定位的Whale vs.Retail Delta有所下降，这表明鲸鱼减少了BTC的敞口 ；: p" Q3 H9 @4 n8 g+ v4 {
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有趣的是，期权交易员仍然看涨，这可以从他们在选举日前增加购买看涨期权（押注BTC价格会上涨）中看出。; J V U4 z/ @: e* P
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在10月22日的每日更新中，交易公司QCP Capital注意,
: e9 W2 {7 ]. }; A J: X- u1 }7 {% J% _
“短期隐含波动率在选举日到期时达到峰值，与前一个到期日相差10个交易量，并且倾向于看涨期权而非看跌期权，尽管BTC比其历史高点低约8%”；
9 v8 r& U1 U2 t" p1 h, Z9 `, c# `$ \1 m+ h9 m* L3 |# ]" |& X
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