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[lastpost] => 2771589 比特币突破125,000美元关口 创纪录新高(转) 1759835538 jackcool1011
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[虚拟币交流]
58亿美元期权风暴来袭!比特币能否站稳6.5万美元关键点位?(转)
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在周五价值逾58亿美元的期权合约到期前,比特币在四周内首次突破6.5万美元。一些分析师表示,期权到期可能导致加密货币市场的波动性加剧。
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Cumberland Labs研究主管Chris Newhouse表示,比特币跌破这一价格水平将引发大幅下跌,而持续突破之后可能会出现反弹。
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7 ^- U4 l3 x, \0 sNewhouse表示:“比特币现在处于6.5万美元的水平,并正在慢慢测试更高价位,要么突破并维持在这个价位,要么不突破并出现大幅下跌。我们已经转向一个更以微观结构为主导的交易环境,在这个环境中,
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, p, `- q+ m( `清算、融资利率和对波动性的投机是价格的主要驱动因素。”
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6 [; \$ q( k# V8 z B+ I比特币周四一度上涨3.7%,至65,826美元,为自7月30日以来的最高水平,随后回吐涨幅。规模较小、流动性较差的代币上涨幅度更大,其中狗狗币上涨超过9%,Solana上涨5%,Avalanche上涨6.5%。% e8 i5 E! Z( j! ]
* M# h1 ` a4 mNewhouse表示,从历史上看,比特币在8月和9月的阻力位一直是6.5万美元。“我们正在重新测试它。”
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在期权市场,交易商将面临周五到期的逾58亿美元合约。
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加密衍生品交易所Deribit首席执行官Luuk Strijers表示:“在到期的比特币期权中,约有20%是价内期权。随着交易员平仓或展期,这种大规模的期权到期可能加剧市场波动或活动,这也可能影响价格。”- O) j& [, Z8 ^# h) U1 k7 {) O- G
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根据Deribit编制的数据,在所有到期合约中,比特币期权的未平仓合约集中在10万美元、9万美元、7万美元和6.5万美元左右。9 e$ x2 U$ j4 F: r) j" b( @5 S
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Vertex 首席执行官兼联合创始人Darius Tabai 表示:“由于伽马对冲将市场控制在6万美元和6.5万美元附近,市场应该会在到期前出现波动。”; ~& @% h0 T, {$ }4 Z* `
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随着投资者涌入期权市场,提供此类合约的交易商要么大量买入,要么大量卖出,以抵消他们快速变化的风险敞口——这种动态被称为“伽马对冲”。
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