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[lastpost] => 2779905 揭秘KOL轮：当影响力变成资本，加密一级市场如何被重塑？（转） 1762694295 爱美的女人
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在经历了美国SEC官方账号被盗的乌龙后，SEC批准比特币ETF终于尘埃落定。8 q- h, M# I* I: W
上海社会科学院信息研究所助理研究员王滢波对21世纪经济报道记者表示，美国SEC正式批准比特币现货ETF上市交易，这无疑是加密货币的破圈时刻，将为以比特币为代表的加密货币带来巨大的发展机遇。: M5 n: `2 t# o. U% m
w$ |* x' ~% S) j# s6 s4 Z5 j
比特币ETF历时10年终于上市，这将改变比特币的投资面貌，让机构和散户投资者- x! b) d7 P1 O' Q# u
$ @! D0 r( B% _8 F; Y8 S
; y+ Q3 r0 L H2 l0 A2 H在不直接持有比特币的情况下，也能投资比特币。+ x2 ~5 e& c( a" ^$ F
% r" ^8 b0 J6 ]: i
在上海财经大学金融学院副院长曹啸看来，2021年10月SEC批准比特币期货ETF上市，6 A( T6 z* B$ f
9 ^6 m! W7 j2 X# y如今又批准了比特币现货ETF上市，申请发行比特币ETF的机构不乏贝莱德这样的传统
% Y5 u% `. _0 ~ G R$ x
# o) V- B7 z; w% `& @资管机构，这进一步确认了比特币的资产属性，比特币实际上已经成为主流的配置资产。
' t: j8 M8 r( e! Q" Y; E a3 ^. n8 n
" X! l% \% `7 Q* R% H从运作模式看，发行商们将从加密货币交易所购买实物比特币，并交由Coinbase Global等& y- E; ?* M7 l; c
- Z' |1 Q+ h, h s/ ~
托管机构储存，再由后者发行ETF。这些比特币ETF将在纳斯达克、纽约证券交易所和芝加! D% [: }9 D' y
* ]+ }& j, M6 B哥期权交易所上市。此外，为了解决SEC对市场操纵方面的担忧，纳斯达克和芝加哥期权交. g4 l* }* F; h$ U. {" C
$ e# P( W2 z$ S+ J P+ _7 O N/ f易所已经与美国最大的加密货币交易所Coinbase建立了一个市场监督机制。
4 [( [$ y3 @/ N
( l1 M: {3 Q3 B& Y: Z% N6 k天朝（上海）自贸区研究院金融研究室主任刘斌对21世纪经济报道记者表示，这次比特币. g" U" ]8 \. ~% V5 T! \3 F! p f
) }$ a& P+ e9 [* R. I
ETF通过，也说明美国监管部门对比特币的态度发生较大变化，根本原因还是美国已经围
% R G4 ?, f4 x$ |' z+ [) I7 L
& G6 r' { D' [绕比特币等加密货币建立起相应的监管框架。以比特币为代表的加密货币被多数金融机构 A" R4 |% t, k. D- E+ b
' U* s0 A5 m8 p- q A7 A- r
所接受，很多金融机构正围绕比特币等开发相关产品。
% d; U9 p N! T- A) M9 n: t6 w' B9 W
在比特币ETF获批后，市场乐观情绪升温。作为超级乐观者的代表，美国投资机构Fundstrat
$ O4 g) V, _+ O8 ]3 ^: q9 r
* l5 A. o% n I5 I. |Global Advisors联合创始人兼研究主管Tom Lee甚至表示，随着ETF获得批准，需求激增，
% `0 m$ }9 H4 ]5 Y8 P6 B
7 m; S. y" H1 k8 h2 ^比特币可能在未来12个月内跃升至10万至15万美元，超过2021年11月达到的约6.9万美元
! z2 b2 z$ A' s) M! i& o3 A- D3 x3 Z+ k$ N( k7 a
的历史高点。在未来五年内，比特币可能飙升至50万美元。
, B+ q" Z0 o) Z/ d( G7 D8 c$ x. ?8 W, C' f) a6 m; o8 d
不过，更大的意义并不在此。曹啸表示，美国SEC批准比特币ETF对于比特币市场的影响本身
1 ^1 v8 y* ], J1 i1 d v0 ~
- O0 e0 t& d. P0 o* K9 K并不重要，重要的是反映了美国监管机构的意图：通过比特币市场的发展，引导金融机构和. g# l: n1 @8 B3 a
* D4 t( Q1 z* e" a
科技公司在区块链技术及其运用上进行投入，从而促进美国金融体系的创新发展。. s- F; Z( U8 o
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