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[虚拟币交流]
比特币Layer2有机会超越以太坊Layer2的体量吗？（转）
[复制链接]
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答案几乎是肯定的：. `3 K4 G4 G, H5 n; m
至少有以下几个原因：
% y8 V9 T# F4 W5 z
: T- n" {9 f; j$ m4 o2 K1、目前已经有完全去中心化的BTC Layer2方案可以使用。/ N/ o) q3 E; ?
: y0 h1 }& r. a3 l在没有完全去中心化的方案之前，最大的比特币封装资产是通过中心化
" n: ~, B+ E* Q5 N$ @: v% y5 e0 I! y6 z6 N! [
机构Bitgo发行的WBTC，目前约65亿美金规模。在完全去中心化的方案
. q4 P3 I5 e, k$ D4 M# I
% X% C- M6 J {2 z' i5 `出现后（如BEVM），预测该市场可以再增长5-10倍以上，体量可以达到
5 B5 S7 y" `4 X+ ?9 U' X. ?1 R/ L! r* o7 p2 h3 m( F
325亿-650亿美金，远远大于ETH Layer2目前的200亿美金总TVL（该数7 F" R3 j9 R/ W
6 v c! K2 I3 n- w/ f据包含了跨链的ETH和ETH Layer2上的其他资产，实际跨链的ETH远没有* _8 ~) U4 d0 i4 G
5 i" _6 S5 c% J. w
达到200亿美金）
2 l# [$ r3 X% i* M+ w
8 A. X7 L% Q" ~# b: w2、比特币由于天然是图灵不完备的，因此，比特币要发展生态比以太坊
$ v' V q+ Z% j$ t$ b4 }
% V$ Q. H& ~* O, A! M& p' M; I4 x更需要Layer2，因此，未来将会有大量BTC到Layer2去构建各类去中心化
/ S7 i( L2 o$ s7 n9 L6 }0 b
' b2 J- L5 Y. s$ o/ A3 z的BTC应用。这是市场需求决定的。9 L: v& j% K& L
+ U6 V% u: O( @2 r( c" }
3、比特币Layer2可以比以太坊Layer2更抗审查，更容易获得用户尤其大
' a; A6 A6 B1 D2 k
, a+ \$ Q' ~! L1 {" z+ f# U8 X2 e资金的信任和青睐。
c5 Y! u( a3 s* j0 a1 G: U- S4 z" N; F% A* E* X8 D, H/ n1 e! ]
4、比特币市值是以太坊市值的3倍，目前ETH Layer2的总TVL约200亿美5 E; x0 \: j* C7 g L
$ F! c& y) ^! Y3 q* J \ ^, {金，约占以太坊市值的10%；按照同样的比例，如果未来10%的BTC进入
6 G2 n5 _, Q5 O6 j M- P9 p
: T& a2 w, N' o比特币Layer2，整个TVL将达到850亿美金，是以太坊Layer2体量的3倍之多。7 t3 I$ F2 |5 ~) I( K, A
! i5 K+ w, \7 P5 J: ~ |
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