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[1754] => 虚拟币存提
[1755] => 交易所
[1655] => 虚拟币资讯
[1756] => 银行卡
[1757] => 第三方支付
[1760] => 币圈大佬
[1758] => 科技前沿
[1759] => 天策嗨聊
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上次分享了第一篇,这次继续来分享第二篇。 1 q C# X3 i7 ]
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5. 废话的不对称原则
& M+ h+ i* Y8 V反驳废话所需的能量比产生废话要大一个数量级。2 E6 K5 J) Y' I, ?- Q7 \ D) I
4 E5 [, H$ y( w3 R3 V+ n7 a" O
回想: 写 luna 的优点=成千的点赞。
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写 luna 的缺点=无数的敌人和谩骂。: @+ `5 `7 L: ?8 H
% \+ p8 b6 `: ?
每个周期,都会有邪教类型的项目,人们无视核心,只因利益一致而拼死维护。
* j! y; l5 T. q9 A" j: H; e- D) N. G; d( q, v; n3 H, _7 g
而对抗它们需要太多的精力。! t! C( o7 q3 f% m7 m
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6.风险不可知原则(黑天鹅)% u4 W6 `; ?, P/ B/ x
被知道的风险:智能合约漏洞。2 P8 ~3 M# n; G B
- n1 L1 i) k1 a2 I9 {6 i( R+ ]" F
不可知的风险:911、3箭崩溃等。
2 i/ d$ ?8 i4 L7 E, ~4 v( G+ H# A# d! t4 V
因为不可知的风险一直存在,只有多样化才能防范。
# U1 T* J8 o, _$ Y
1 Q: q$ Q' E3 a想象一下罕见事件:8 F, j" ^: k: D; c, x* C( V
0 V/ L( r3 z) q, s, N• 中本聪的钱包苏醒
8 F6 [$ X; F$ H3 S& _+ U/ g
4 s# N/ K* h1 M7 f• 核打击3 ?' e( k3 j0 N- q3 n
: i1 r- Q- X* ^% U我们倾向于低估黑天鹅的影响!
2 G r7 E+ v+ O4 Y% i+ g v5 U6 A. A( N/ Y+ u3 _2 y
7.二八定律/ y: o; H% m/ U) }4 u8 W
在币圈:2 |; @1 L) k0 d+ J% c
4 l7 z6 n3 I) l: L! _
80% 的收入来自 20% 的协议。2 `* u3 h& t4 G0 w: e1 d1 A: M
+ u% }* F- F3 U7 ~: E( Z
80%的利润被20%的人拿走。
6 Z( m# C* A1 ?4 V) |8 \5 d& y8 X& C y) P* t- p$ x
我们大多数时候是8,而不是2,时刻警惕这一点。
2 c. C2 d2 U4 e( q9 B Q/ o9 ?0 w' C, } m8 X, a. Z' R
8.网络效应
; k# s' _3 p1 t5 E' }产品随着更多用户加入而更有价值。* N8 h6 g0 r! A' `& r- `2 g
: ~' n' S. K9 H: N
想想脸书如果没人使用会有什么价值?# A. U* D' |5 l. U7 K
, o& |2 X9 j5 B, ?一个产品产生了网络效应,就成为了护城河。# P; m5 J( T: Z- S; I4 M+ ?
% e% r W; p0 S6 K% ?投资时,要考虑什么产品能产生护城河。 往往只有一个产品能获胜。
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