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[1757] => 第三方支付
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[lastpost] => 2758624 如果BTC财库公司选择抛售,市场会陷入「死亡螺旋」吗?(转) 1755765021 rainwang
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上次分享了第一篇,这次继续来分享第二篇。 5 v% X8 t+ o; d& p
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5. 废话的不对称原则
, k2 N9 K" c# i1 Y, t反驳废话所需的能量比产生废话要大一个数量级。" h! ^* V' t1 W$ `4 i9 X
: K( O8 j' t7 k0 n: f7 j7 h# y
回想: 写 luna 的优点=成千的点赞。$ O; a* ^" P. s; w }. X
5 z: M8 n3 k2 i写 luna 的缺点=无数的敌人和谩骂。
) [% F# J) }7 X1 ]' s0 _. _1 ^6 l/ L2 B$ L8 E
每个周期,都会有邪教类型的项目,人们无视核心,只因利益一致而拼死维护。0 S* E: r. u/ j
1 T6 v1 T/ g' S$ Z, b! b; x而对抗它们需要太多的精力。( @0 a* }% Q d$ O/ }
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6.风险不可知原则(黑天鹅)
' g M) v+ m' @: t9 j被知道的风险:智能合约漏洞。
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( h: i* T D4 N+ x+ m0 N不可知的风险:911、3箭崩溃等。
4 {2 X( j2 H9 T5 F! U5 d: Q9 z5 D+ ^, b1 T) p( J' \4 V3 J' S5 _" Z1 R
因为不可知的风险一直存在,只有多样化才能防范。
9 |; o, X6 H% D8 S8 D
+ k) @ O b) B" X v6 v: u3 N- y想象一下罕见事件:* Y4 i9 z, u+ ]2 g( E
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• 中本聪的钱包苏醒
& B" @ K7 F3 \& ^' _( ^$ ?
6 E( {$ C. F/ `& w• 核打击! X2 J4 K' l$ ?+ j9 ]4 f
' W8 W9 s) R$ _2 W: x% O我们倾向于低估黑天鹅的影响!
7 Q0 i& h, n6 b q; Z6 @* D n+ Z2 T O& z5 D X/ V
7.二八定律5 R# ^: f. q; j5 Z9 O, j. k
在币圈:
5 k. ?, w% a" Z( D: t6 J6 I7 g& b
, I8 Y/ X; _ w5 D; N, @80% 的收入来自 20% 的协议。) f' s" R* ^/ H& b% V
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80%的利润被20%的人拿走。
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我们大多数时候是8,而不是2,时刻警惕这一点。4 N4 A; k! G- |
8 ` Q& T2 ~+ p" O8.网络效应& p) A. Q# r! R5 o9 l# X+ W
产品随着更多用户加入而更有价值。 G$ J$ ^# J- v: P0 I' q1 ]
/ z) ~# ?6 G4 S" g2 f* H
想想脸书如果没人使用会有什么价值?. p) g' ?5 l$ I; c0 b
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一个产品产生了网络效应,就成为了护城河。
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4 D( Q% J/ s1 A2 t' r7 u7 H1 o- w投资时,要考虑什么产品能产生护城河。 往往只有一个产品能获胜。! Y/ X3 u; c& b" g
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