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[虚拟币资讯]
随着鲸鱼抛售 93K ETH:以太坊价格在 Uniswap 上暴跌至 950 美元
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大家好 ) w& a% _( P6 G+ v I s$ u
我是币圈小沫沫~ `$ g9 x; g- z
ETH 在跌至 950 美元后大幅反弹。但 ETH / USD 看跌的延续设置可能会重新审视它。 " a# T6 d9 H2 M
) N1 a" l8 h! x* @9 r今年 6 月 13 日，以太坊的原生代币 Ether ( ETH ) 在 Uniswap（一个去中心化的加密货币交易所）上跌 & U6 b4 R0 [0 h7 ~" x) A
至 950 美元的低点，大约比其他交易所的即期汇率低 20%。
5 x' S$ ~$ B/ e( o
7 [8 j6 S+ E" f0 u六小时内售出超过 1.3 亿美元的 ETH 7 x1 t/ j) x+ _. X
该事件发生在世界标准时间 03:00 左右，此前一头鲸鱼抛售了 65,000 ETH 以获得多种“稳定币”，包括 USD Coin ( USDC )、Tether ( USDT ) 和 Dai ( DAI )。
. q3 C0 }# d$ [有证据指出，鲸鱼出售其持有的 ETH 以偿还 DeFi 借贷平台 Oasis.app 价值近 7300 万美元的债务。在抛售期间，ETH 的清算价格从 1,200 美元跌至 875 美元。 ' w$ ?, x5 e) x( w8 t! k8 E2 K3 D7 L
/ A3 F9 o- ?& ]% N* I4 `Oasis 的借款人继续疯狂抛售——在第一次抛售后五个小时又抛售了近 28,000 ETH——以偿还另外 3200 万美元的债务。这一次，强平价格从 892 美元涨到了 1200 美元，如下图所示。
; v& R/ b( I! Y5 I0 [% Z
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果，这只鲸鱼在短短六个小时内就抛售了大约 93,000 ETH。按 6 月 13 日的 ETH/USD 价格计算，该金额约为 1.12 亿美元。 4 D8 {9 `+ l5 o/ {" A W0 C
有趣的是，Oasis 借款人的未偿债务总额约为 1.2 亿美元（以 DAI 稳定币衡量），这表明鲸鱼遭受了严重的“滑点”损失。
% ]# I6 S$ f% _: B7 I8 q
/ i7 v9 F' M: m& w8 r' P以太币价格达到 667 美元——资深分析师
5 c9 ]) n+ V I H2 v, [; E. E* w以太币涨至 950 美元的行程很短暂，这表明对接近该水平的代币有足够的需求。尽管如此，资深交易员 Peter Brandt 的另一项分析指出，未来几周 ETH 的价格将跌至 650 美元。 4 D9 C9 ~ l' `1 N. ~7 i; }' _, ~
Brandt 的看跌前景源于一个经典的延续模式，被称为“下降三角形”，在价格朝其先前趋势的方向突破后解决。
2 ~* ]0 l. w; r& `由于以太在三角形形成之前下跌，其阻力最小的路径偏向下行。
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3 w3 U* N% k4 E" }+ t, P" vBrandt 表示，随着 6 月 13 日价格下跌 20%，ETH 已达到三角形的第一个下行目标 1,268 美元。他预计下跌将继续，ETH 再下跌近 50%，至 667 美元。 3 ~* b1 v5 {. [1 l& u# y, X
尽管如此，以太币的超卖相对强度指数（RSI）可能导致价格急剧逆转。以太坊从 1,200 美元附近的 200 周简单移动平均线（200 周 SMA；下图中的橙色波浪）中挑选出额外的反弹线索，现在作为支撑。 . S# b. j( w- |! U5 E7 S, {) Z) a4 p
6 ~* E/ @, _4 x. T+ n6 v如果 ETH 价格经历上行回撤，则该代币的中期牛市目标可能接近 1,450 美元，与斐波纳契回撤图的 1.00 斐波那契线相吻合，从 1,450 美元左右的摆动高点到 84 美元的摆动低点。
9 |7 Z6 Q7 t3 N9 f! ~6 v2 _相反，如果收盘价跌破 200 周均线，则 ETH 可能将 920 美元视为其下一个下行目标。
& K. R' D; @ w) j此处表达的观点和意见仅代表作者的观点，在做出决定时，您应该进行自己的研究。 5 Z( x- V) j' D# _- F
好了，小沫沫就讲到这里，咱们下期见！ 来源：金色财经 |
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