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[虚拟币资讯]
币世界余勋6.13 cpi不降反升 加息压力倍增 恰逢以太清算 短期不宜过于乐观
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没有断更、wx被环境限制、6.17恢复。 + n6 e; ]- ^ x& P. z; Z
行情补充、 $ x) _6 v# e' a9 w3 z1 }( g! z- U
在6.11号、cpi超出预期、加息压力提升。 A2 S3 F- Y2 h- Z& h$ F
市场本就一蹶不振、恐慌抛压会提高。 " y: g5 M, j: Y+ n0 O4 f
关于疑问、一一回复。 - Q% Z0 i, Y8 }& w, I- C' P/ q# v, c
今天为何跌这么多，何时能抄底！ 0 E2 y7 @% H$ ?! y q' C( p
# m1 J# j5 D! P! t
首先就个人的主观来说、 2 H7 e9 L& ^/ h- N, v9 X8 n2 Y
对这个市场，余勋有着无比强烈的信仰。 : C1 u3 r5 ?0 y- f6 D
极度憧憬市场的未来！ 0 z& q. U/ L: L/ X0 ^7 u p
但信仰在环境zc面前下，不值一提、 - ]( {4 c0 ]7 C- ^
最不济，要明白一个道理。君子不立危墙之下、 - B( h5 n" u: y: S' W3 q: M% r* u
而当下，或许就是市场最难度的阶段。
( h, M8 D& }) J, v9 Q1 ]会不会过去、肯定会。但给一点时间。 * b4 c3 y: l6 J% r7 A/ P5 \ B
转点就在CPI稳定，或出现下降。 * I; m3 {% m6 A. Q+ u) n
其次出现降息，和停止抽水。
5 s0 w3 ]8 L* P3 k! W5 E（这是最精准的抄底时机，）
/ K% ?; M5 _7 r! b+ C' z为什么会跌、 $ ^, b* H! Z- R9 Z2 h9 q& P2 k
1cpi不降反升、加息压力提高。市场面临进一步抽水，或延长周期抽水。
3 v" ]) X9 o; E2本月14-15议息，提前预判会更鹰派，提前消化。 7 E) ?* z# n/ T8 Z
3以太在1100-1250有近10亿借贷清算、
6 n9 D4 w+ Y1 ~5 ^综上造成的下跌、
6 b" b/ r1 l0 m% `# a( z- f1 V8 j/ m这是一轮由膨胀问题带来的熊市、 D* @, U1 B# ~! o* S3 A2 E! u) z
也是21年放水大牛市的带来的反噬。 " U0 |3 o5 G$ n/ S* o4 ]
熊市不可言底、所有一切只能通过cpi可控。
& @0 d' O3 }: A. J) d0 d& j0 W" m来决定行情是否好转。
2 p! R: s, [5 Q- U+ C' m6 {' Y0 R至于短线、大饼单日跌幅达10%。 # {; g q# W* J
在熊市阶段，出现暴力反弹，可能性为0. 6 }. ?) X. x! u1 G+ _
短线反弹即空，短期来看是硬道理。
. |! m/ z+ p+ O* k& E周二开始会议、cpi压力，绝对更是鹰派言论、
" K) w* \2 m8 s9 I6 T( t$ ?9 y那周一白盘、反弹就空。但不可追空、
& c4 g T# C+ g1 ?% U u$ Q看好近期，大饼形成超级支撑，与上月横盘一致。
" V& \( t9 ?( T" k& N9 H日内大饼反弹、 : B4 Y- l" [' G% A F' w% c
26150高空
* F, D# [ f% b1 a8 ?; E9 b- O26350补仓 ; _# j: I/ b5 j( i* R* L- a! d' v
26550防守
3 C0 n: {% Z* U5 x' A+ u目标25250-25000 破位24800 轻微下看 " x, I+ K$ c" o5 i' I
以太反弹
6 e! R& _& ~& x1380高空
/ f5 a2 N d$ y& h1400补仓
: Z1 w. E' L, O* p1420防守 / j! y& |4 \/ l6 N, R
目标1320-1300、破位1280 轻微下看。 * i# T2 w" k9 H$ `3 K6 `( z+ C( H( X9 x) U
附言、 # B7 J5 B; `/ c4 N
许多因牛市慕名而来，却惨败于熊市阶段。 0 Q- \- h& B B' G6 }$ R
是正常现象，
) e8 S* {: X( q+ e% g' s7 K- D; m" t合格的交易者，会进行埋伏布局，现货也杜绝追涨杀跌。 # g, T" o8 ^! ?8 U( c3 v, d
对于市场、依旧未来可期。 7 k' R' Z& I' l4 ]- C. w2 n
大饼的价值，纵使震荡再过剧烈。 \8 u9 C3 J! W& W4 c
上轮牛市高点69000.绝对不是终点。 , R4 Z, o- `1 j5 u2 z7 d
5月的cpi或许数据不够理想、但增幅并未大幅提高。
* L- C, M1 r l$ d4 g6月、已开始50基点，和抽水。
# X7 ]5 _/ e7 c& {3 ?相信七月公布时，会较理想。
' [1 z# l' c* Q* O E# j* u9 {( l但现阶段，要承受的住。
& s- @; v/ d) \8 F' t最后再强调、现货勿割。 8 O8 W7 ~ y+ {7 g% Y h
25000的大饼 1300的以太、 ; Q6 g. X( H1 P
个人斗胆一言，依旧是激进布局时机。
B# V8 h9 o! o/ u0 D0 x0 o6 R7 t稳健可于7月cpi公布，再做考虑。 5 V" ?* X9 ^2 H+ f, V& p" f9 g/ K) f; ]
这个市场， 2 k- K. @) l1 L( g8 B) e
消息为首、情绪为辅、技术为次。 - o* S8 L. {2 X+ A( o
最后就是合理的仓位配置，及良好的心态。 3 ~) @4 a4 P( g2 q
切记学会消息分析，不与市场进行对立。 7 q [7 o6 k9 G8 X" H: W$ H) w- ~
但也要杜绝操作忌讳的盲点，引以为戒。 : v) G& v! ?2 k/ ?* w: _
来源：金色财经 |
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