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[lastpost] => 2647995 币圈故事会:大佬们对胖猫事件酒后吐真言,即将反弹的加密货币-转载 1715085581 想要水果机
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上次分享了第一篇,这次继续来分享第二篇。& O6 z, X0 w6 X
& f4 Y) O# v; ^1 S6 x7 v9 x R0 z
5. 废话的不对称原则3 ^4 U2 A) c& y/ D1 q1 g: X
反驳废话所需的能量比产生废话要大一个数量级。
$ Z' y% S- N% `5 @7 z& x4 b6 ~# I' a4 n: l1 V
回想: 写 luna 的优点=成千的点赞。5 G6 W- N3 V" Q. {+ | h8 h
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写 luna 的缺点=无数的敌人和谩骂。
4 A x& y3 f3 r5 j* f5 E" ~! `- z& j+ d4 _: d
每个周期,都会有邪教类型的项目,人们无视核心,只因利益一致而拼死维护。
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" c9 X6 j3 l: ^/ P0 _而对抗它们需要太多的精力。( Y' \" l0 \' _+ z9 n" L; t1 v# o
# Q) V6 s/ C3 T) E! Y. N6.风险不可知原则(黑天鹅)
8 z0 ?$ Q5 z+ @( m7 _被知道的风险:智能合约漏洞。
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9 t# ?, K: A* [; g$ [& l不可知的风险:911、3箭崩溃等。
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; N4 {* c( s) }- L# H* o因为不可知的风险一直存在,只有多样化才能防范。; |- _' A; {( `5 M/ Q
# h/ b3 F! y7 j( X) W: u, G想象一下罕见事件:
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# a/ _( K% O7 c* F& s- e2 L• 中本聪的钱包苏醒
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z$ L0 _: y% S y• 核打击
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1 h" |+ C, ]" T1 n. j- D" A( C我们倾向于低估黑天鹅的影响!
# `! a0 Z( [" Y
6 m/ F0 ~3 b' E8 `& q% _2 F4 u7.二八定律3 l' s3 u5 a- b- g" n
在币圈:) i9 V& y' {1 J
% F5 x8 ]0 \& E; I3 d( @( @80% 的收入来自 20% 的协议。/ ~' m& @+ ?$ w* F
. Y. k' ? d* @! E$ \" A' d80%的利润被20%的人拿走。
o) S* M9 D7 p C7 Z2 T) E( b: ^
- [0 }/ \! l- U; r! O. t5 n我们大多数时候是8,而不是2,时刻警惕这一点。
7 U& E" g9 q& T& h ?4 \$ K
/ r! m. C2 g ~/ ]8.网络效应
4 `: d+ C* W/ l! O产品随着更多用户加入而更有价值。$ U9 F# w/ j( N% C8 R
- T6 V" @, D# p- v) h l+ X
想想脸书如果没人使用会有什么价值?0 r$ u) h) K6 t. \0 ?
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一个产品产生了网络效应,就成为了护城河。4 k8 r, V% ^: u+ [4 m2 P
& @% ~4 ]$ Z/ A4 ?投资时,要考虑什么产品能产生护城河。 往往只有一个产品能获胜。1 i+ M6 o1 h5 I& y% q% ]
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