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[体育菠菜心得方法] 理智分析体育博彩会输的几个因素
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一.输了运气。体育博彩里技术和运气是同时并存的,我认为运气占60%技术占 40%。技术其实就是最合理地对对赛双方的实力、状态等等影响比赛结果的诸多因素准确分析和判断。而运气则体育博彩里变动很大,也就是说在运气好的时候无论你下注的向方如何结果都是赢盘,技术好的话赢盘就更多,而运气差的时候无论你技术多好,结果也是输盘,技术好的话输盘就少一点,所以在运气差的时候立刻叫停。而在运气中等的程况下,技术则占主导地位,也就是说分析和判断得越精确,比赛结果就越接近期望值。! F2 X5 O+ B. j/ M6 L  y0 U# m
二.以寡敌众。就是以一个人的力量和一个群体的力量对抗,结果是怎么样大家可想而知了。威廉希尔(William Hill)公司曾经说过一句话:每个星期有将近200场比赛,本公司可以控制其中的198场,而剩下的两场是公司奉送给赌民们的。这句话虽然有写夸张但也不全假,威廉为什么会成为欧洲开盘最严谨的公司之一呢?因为他们的盘是由两个诺贝尔数学奖获得者运用精密的软件所开的,其科学性和准确性在欧洲是首区一指的,你不是玩概率吗?你的数学好吗?比他们两个还好吗?所以以一个业余人的水平的人和一群专业的操盘手斗,输钱的机会大很多。5 A! J, d1 n# |; q* g4 A/ O' q
三.多而乱。投注范围不明确,投注范围大:不管什么比赛。法甲、德甲、意甲、西甲、英超、欧洲冠军杯、锦标赛,甲级、乙级你都参与,一个人的精力毕竟有限,很多球队你一点也不了解,只是看看盘口,水位就下注,却忽略了体育博彩在精不在多。体育博彩最忌多而乱。切记盘口无论怎么开它的水位都是1.90左右,有利于庄家。下注太滥的话水位钱也输不少!
) k8 c& q  t3 a$ J四.心理失衡。
! T9 b+ m" a- k5 |主要有以下几个方面:! L: m) m) Z; m9 A
1、得意忘形。赢球赢钱不高兴那叫有病,但是得意忘形那叫作死。赢球之后,一定要冷静复盘,考虑得失,不可觉得老子天下第一。切记,你赢球是正常的,因为如果没人能赢,DuBo公司也就别办了。关键是要知道自己是怎么赢的,把规律总结出来。# P6 ~; [3 f7 X& g4 {- H& m. l
2、六神无主。连续输的情况人人都能遇到,关键要作到不输的六神无主。更不要在这个时候轻信什么心水啊,内幕啊之类的东西,堤内堤外都输钱,这个冤大头咱们别当。: ?; a2 J6 u* D8 z
3、孤注一掷。前面说过,正常的对赛胜负比例不过53%对47%,也就是说没有绝对的输赢(人为操作的不算,这样的例子后面将举到),下注比例失控。输了后不断加大注,最后孤注一掷。孤注一掷无论胜负都可以让你的心态失衡,心态失衡离残败就不远了。1 ~* R3 T" l+ j) W. F  p* H
4、贪得无厌。贪得无厌主要表现在什么盘都想上,赢多少都不收手上。庄家(澳门)每天开几十个盘,每个盘他们都用几十个人若干条消息渠道养活着,我们只有一个脑袋和几条并不一定可靠的渠道来分析这些盘口,所以没必要见盘就琢磨,只是牢牢抓住自己有感觉和关注的盘口进行分析、判断。另外,赢了就是赢了,该收手就收手,别觉得自己的顺风旗能一直飘扬。每天只下2—3注,赢了打死也不加,输了,说停立刻就停。
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:) :( :D :'( :@ :o
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:hug: :victory: :time: :kiss: :handshake: :call:
:) :( :D :'( :@ :o
:P :$ ;P :L :Q :lol
:loveliness: :funk: :curse: :dizzy: :shutup: :sleepy:
:hug: :victory: :time: :kiss: :handshake: :call:
:hug: :victory:
:) :( :D :'( :@ :o
:P :$ ;P :L :Q :lol
:loveliness: :funk: :curse: :dizzy: :shutup: :sleepy:
:hug: :victory: :time: :kiss: :handshake: :call:
:hug: :victory: :time: :kiss: :handshake: :call:
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