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[lastpost] => 2749387 比特币市值超亚马逊，机构拼命买，散户却“已读不回” 1752942675 天策-瑶娥
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[虚拟币交流]
比特币以98,000美元的价格违反了疑问，那么为什么投资者仍然谨慎？（转）
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比特币集会高于$ 98K，与持续的负面投资者情绪形成鲜明对比；难以置信的可能性可能表明机会。
& T* Q) u2 G; ^1 R8 g大量的ETF流入促进了BTC，但2022年风险的风险仍然可能使这种动力脱轨。
9 O7 y4 \5 m, N9 ~2 @' g尽管比特币[BTC]令人印象深刻的持有超过$ 98K的大关，投资者的情绪越来越低。这引起了一波怀疑，在牛市中，这感觉奇怪的是不合时宜。
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7 G! X1 Z( Y: B" T市场是否难以置信，兴奋不已？还是这些信号反映了2022熊市？
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& S( K1 R7 V: U7 T" O随着BTC最近的[激增]重点势头，当前的气候可能与基本面一样由心理学来驱动。
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0 z" {/ I4 ]9 A牛un云蒙上阴影
. D3 U' r( U0 C! s最近的数据显示比特币X（以前为Twitter）和新闻平台上的价格和普遍情绪。
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即使BTC交易自信地超过9.8万美元，平均7天的平均情绪仍然牢固地负面 - 这种模式在历史上与本地底部和逆势购买机会有关。
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这种持续的难以置信表明市场在心理上落后于价格行动。7 Y$ B# S, _$ Y
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尽管这种情绪下降以前曾在看涨逆转之前，但值得记住的是2022年的警告性故事，在这种情况下，延长的消极情绪与长时间的熊阶段相吻合。& D b' f3 C' \/ E- J- j
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BTC背后的机构引擎
2 Q4 b7 C' U! C# W% y5 W在ETF流图表：经过数周的一致流出后，四月迎来了大量ETF流入的政权。5 L- K7 f: \$ u- u
; G2 H! [. n6 A1 ~# P这种重新获得的机构兴趣主要由贝莱德（Blackrock）和富达（Fidelity）等巨人领导，似乎使比特币向上驱动了势头，将其推向了9.8万美元的大关。
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, r% Z: j' D5 u+ k& f: \! |与较早几个月的挥发性流动不同，该阶段显示出稳定的每日净流入，表明了强烈的长期信念。6 I, e5 |; B, z/ e% L- B
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机构信心可能是[激增]的关键力量，即使零售情绪仍然谨慎。+ B9 r& N) J& k
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怎么了？: R6 Y) A; v2 |/ a" H
尽管ETF流入信号乐观，但历史使投资者保持谨慎。
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2022年，由机构产品和宏观趋势驱动的看涨情绪，由于流动性冲击和杠杆率过多而崩溃。7 s2 Q/ q5 g) S4 y1 R
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风险食欲或监管压力的突然转移可能会触发快速流出，从而逆转最近的收益。
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尽管ETF提供了透明度，但它们并不能阻止比特币免受市场波动的影响。如果流入缓慢或转向赎回，比特币可能会面临类似于过去周期的抛售。
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