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[虚拟币交流]
比特币再次瞄准 10 万美元 – 看涨势头能否刺激投资者？（转）
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比特币 [BTC]开始采取行动夺回 100,000 美元的区域，截至发稿时，交易价格低于 98,215.61 美元，而过去 24 小时内价格小幅上涨了 0.42%。
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由于市场上大量投资者、现货交易商和矿工的看涨情绪日益高涨，预计涨势将持续，并有可能将 BTC 带入图表上的标记区域。, d4 i/ M3 c' y+ }: S% J4 h6 u
# n: H3 x% D0 G+ y( f! H; s7 t7 p# {比特币重新分配正在进行
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目前，市场上的比特币正在重新分配。这意味着持有更多 BTC 的市场参与者群体正在转移。
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' z5 G6 b. h4 u( c目前，这种转变已经从持有至少 1% 流通 BTC 供应量的鲸鱼转向另外两类：持有少于1 BTC 的虾类和持有100-1,000 BTC 的鲨鱼。
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然而，鲨鱼却占据了领先地位。
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5 n5 x6 D! o: M) L7 t! ]根据 Glassnode 的数据，比特币鲨鱼目前占据 20% 的主导地位，这意味着他们积累的 BTC 比任何其他群体都多。
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通过这种重新分配，特别是在小型和相对大型持有者之间的重新分配，表明这些群体的信心正在增强，他们可能将 BTC 跌破 100,000 美元视为买入机会。/ A8 V* {4 A$ {5 o# `. z6 b
& h( |: t8 y6 o5 h4 u' s4 v仔细观察比特币的 NUPL（净未实现利润/亏损）可以证实这一看涨趋势。) Y+ m3 O# ]0 K7 L# e' k. A
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当时，NUPL 显示市场处于“信念”阶段，或看涨持续阶段，截稿时读数为 0.556，表明整体购买活动活跃。* {* k; s* s8 J6 X
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; _$ F/ A* o! ?( F: f比特币矿工实现的利润微乎其微- v9 E1 K/ n; `
CryptoQuant 上的矿工持仓指数 (MPI) 表明，在维护区块链完整性方面发挥重要作用的比特币矿工正在逐渐抛售。/ K& Q: K& O2 u6 X5 _; [ ]
* [ }& l; W v8 R本文撰写时，MPI 读数为负 0.8，表明抛售压力较低。这表明矿工可能正在获利回吐以弥补运营成本。
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) F7 R" w6 L7 Y一旦此阶段结束，这些矿工可能会逐渐开始再次购买 BTC，增加他们的投资组合并为市场带来潜在的看涨压力。& {. w1 d7 ?3 _9 c8 @5 y3 t, a
0 h0 {) c+ K* e: @现货交易商调整8 Y h) g2 i/ _* o: K
; d( A$ X* ~% ?( U d现货交易商开始顺应市场情绪，因为最近几天 BTC 的购买活动非常活跃。
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$ b9 k( k6 @4 l- @4 Y+ c5 x仅在过去 24 小时内，Exchange Netflow 数据显示，从加密货币交易所购买了 1,100 BTC，较前一天购买的 262 BTC 大幅增加。
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8 g2 A3 T& r; q7 f3 l9 [9 T如果这种购买趋势持续下去，则表明现货交易商的看涨情绪将明显转变，与 BTC 投资者团体和矿工当前的情绪一致。" o/ P: k2 Z0 M' Y9 }! h
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