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[虚拟币交流]
加密货币惨遭抛售 考验信奉比特币是“数字黄金”的投资者（转）
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加密资产本轮抛售正在罕见地考验一条业内信条，这一信条认为，比特币等同于“数字黄金”，因此，纳入资产投资组合可以对冲股市波动。
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随着周一股市大跌和套利交易平仓，比特币的表现更像股票而不是黄金，一度暴跌17%，跌破50,000美元，之后收复部分失地。彭博汇编数据显示，比特币与贵金属7月份变成了负相关。
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0 M! ~: p. z1 k6 ~* B7 N3 d9 u; { “认为机构投资者配置比特币的原因跟配置黄金的原因相同，这种想法不切实际，”eToro分析师Josh Gilbert表示，“这两种资产在投资组合中扮演的角色不一样。”
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8 l9 J4 |: J9 a& h4 S( H 相反，一些观察人士认为，比特币的大幅下跌证明，加密货币这类资产特别容易跟潜在威胁同步——例如美联储等太久才降息，令经济陷入衰退。“如果投资者感到恐慌或寻求去杠杆，加密货币往往是首选资产，”Gilbert表示。
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% x* n W8 Y2 U9 D$ b 追根溯源，把比特币和黄金相提并论一定程度上是因为其各自的稀缺性。" c0 x* G/ p8 p3 _7 L6 U3 e
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一些分析师不愿意放弃比特币即黄金的论点——或者至少有一天它可能成为现实的想法。8 L, R. g* E5 s
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“许多投资者将比特币视为一种风险投资，押注其未来会成为数字黄金，”Galaxy Research研究主管Alex Thorn周一在报告中写道，“比特币跟黄金不同，主权国家、央行或机构投资者尚未普遍持有比特币。”
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" b# c3 \2 a( I7 \6 R" L9 C3 L3 z 独立交易员Bob Loukas指出，周一的抛售十年难遇，这让人很难判断市场后续会出现哪种走势。他认为，调整可能会持续至9月中旬，然后在某个时刻出现强劲反弹。
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9 D2 W7 l; {# K/ O) {- z. J% Q分析师McKenna则警告比特币投资者不要指望短期内会出现多大改善，更可能是长达1-2个月的横盘整理。
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