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[lastpost] => 2776665 美联储会议周前风险偏好回升，黄金价格停顿是比特币的脉搏（转） 1762602865 垂钓园
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在经历了美国SEC官方账号被盗的乌龙后，SEC批准比特币ETF终于尘埃落定。
7 {( A1 d9 u' W/ K C5 I0 K3 h; q: Q上海社会科学院信息研究所助理研究员王滢波对21世纪经济报道记者表示，美国SEC正式批准比特币现货ETF上市交易，这无疑是加密货币的破圈时刻，将为以比特币为代表的加密货币带来巨大的发展机遇。* v" c4 a5 T9 N
/ U! Z* z# y6 H& M% u# P& b! ?比特币ETF历时10年终于上市，这将改变比特币的投资面貌，让机构和散户投资者; R# G, h( o& N. H
2 v. t9 B& Z" q8 j& m+ ^! l$ L, g4 y2 Z `. h( @6 n: l
在不直接持有比特币的情况下，也能投资比特币。
3 z$ `. B! ~' m3 p+ K& X! d. b" R( c9 |* H) k# v: b
在上海财经大学金融学院副院长曹啸看来，2021年10月SEC批准比特币期货ETF上市，) M5 e" O7 p* e0 i6 V% A
, q" m. q% O2 H; ]8 [8 o1 z
如今又批准了比特币现货ETF上市，申请发行比特币ETF的机构不乏贝莱德这样的传统
4 ?+ c7 u) ?& h! ]+ r k/ k8 ~. u: O8 J6 V5 {4 R7 D
资管机构，这进一步确认了比特币的资产属性，比特币实际上已经成为主流的配置资产。 w' n* f! c: C* V
# L. K" ?6 U+ X3 S: O从运作模式看，发行商们将从加密货币交易所购买实物比特币，并交由Coinbase Global等# j$ w1 a1 S! }# a% [
9 F: e; |; D! ]! Z: ~
托管机构储存，再由后者发行ETF。这些比特币ETF将在纳斯达克、纽约证券交易所和芝加
8 v$ c9 R4 s, T$ g i( C; r
1 P, e/ v7 _' s. j哥期权交易所上市。此外，为了解决SEC对市场操纵方面的担忧，纳斯达克和芝加哥期权交
/ L7 m* G7 Y9 {8 C, t0 Q! m7 {; U5 I3 A5 M
易所已经与美国最大的加密货币交易所Coinbase建立了一个市场监督机制。
# W/ C$ A; W% L* q M& r2 r( k- H, d
天朝（上海）自贸区研究院金融研究室主任刘斌对21世纪经济报道记者表示，这次比特币
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. c' e4 k- ^, ]3 zETF通过，也说明美国监管部门对比特币的态度发生较大变化，根本原因还是美国已经围. |: n# F. ?5 r* Y4 q: Y, A$ c
U" \0 w) A2 `: K
绕比特币等加密货币建立起相应的监管框架。以比特币为代表的加密货币被多数金融机构$ C: X: p( `2 b/ ]
' R6 f. l* X/ U: d7 K% w& A+ k
所接受，很多金融机构正围绕比特币等开发相关产品。/ h# D* o; [% r7 p' ^( S) D( c7 P( v
2 ~& U# _# T B- m( c9 _1 j; U7 l( @
在比特币ETF获批后，市场乐观情绪升温。作为超级乐观者的代表，美国投资机构Fundstrat 9 t1 t* \" @5 h* b
' ^& U( t) v: Z7 T- Q! ~Global Advisors联合创始人兼研究主管Tom Lee甚至表示，随着ETF获得批准，需求激增，% @+ H/ M+ d/ @$ v- }; E' B# p
% M) A. l: `2 ]' y' r s比特币可能在未来12个月内跃升至10万至15万美元，超过2021年11月达到的约6.9万美元9 Z1 ^# ]1 x4 _0 W
: i J6 w& T5 e9 m
的历史高点。在未来五年内，比特币可能飙升至50万美元。1 F* ^6 C- R/ ~, A% T( o3 \
: [& t. A+ a' L# n不过，更大的意义并不在此。曹啸表示，美国SEC批准比特币ETF对于比特币市场的影响本身& A( z+ r6 G1 _+ Z' [0 d; e) d' c6 t# }
: @; |" |1 Y* _- W. P8 g并不重要，重要的是反映了美国监管机构的意图：通过比特币市场的发展，引导金融机构和
# V( s, U/ E( ~# j r% j
5 a& S+ _% ]# |2 I7 O科技公司在区块链技术及其运用上进行投入，从而促进美国金融体系的创新发展。
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