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[1754] => 虚拟币存提
[1755] => 交易所
[1655] => 虚拟币资讯
[1756] => 银行卡
[1757] => 第三方支付
[1760] => 币圈大佬
[1758] => 科技前沿
[1759] => 天策嗨聊
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上次分享了第一篇,这次继续来分享第二篇。 ' l0 C/ u- j/ s5 V8 j
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5. 废话的不对称原则
/ a$ r( T9 l& X0 @反驳废话所需的能量比产生废话要大一个数量级。: h4 S- V; M/ Q5 A
1 i! G* N& S$ _7 b; b
回想: 写 luna 的优点=成千的点赞。* x% `! d+ n' N, l5 N
( f8 Y5 p0 w. p" W+ g$ ^写 luna 的缺点=无数的敌人和谩骂。
% x8 t( n* m+ r% o) Q2 F
1 T1 I1 n3 f" H) x8 x4 a( d每个周期,都会有邪教类型的项目,人们无视核心,只因利益一致而拼死维护。
; U! h6 { O8 m. D# y) v
1 N! E: T+ {; c5 Y& a而对抗它们需要太多的精力。3 q: E2 y6 n3 o' v0 i* c
$ g5 ?' B- f8 W( }% U0 M/ q6.风险不可知原则(黑天鹅)( g+ |( H# U8 r
被知道的风险:智能合约漏洞。) Q/ Y: N2 m! \4 i9 z% }( y
0 x. q8 O& f* [8 F+ {不可知的风险:911、3箭崩溃等。
& p% l, F, c* T& W; y7 p* C
9 c2 E# g! N. z, |7 i5 s# Z. A* _因为不可知的风险一直存在,只有多样化才能防范。
) l5 S( j7 k8 m% E' ^, m; u+ q5 W: Y0 O9 B1 O3 F' M% K
想象一下罕见事件:( U/ J- `5 N/ U {$ l3 \
+ w! ]6 h% Z/ K) p" f
• 中本聪的钱包苏醒
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a2 l3 e& X& N) m7 |5 q' I4 C• 核打击
. Y: w4 _" }8 t) t; L3 d/ A. ?" J* f
( b; S2 Q6 B8 B( J1 a% ^0 \' k我们倾向于低估黑天鹅的影响!$ h! f' x, D4 ~0 m
0 T; _0 L' U" D; J1 a7 n% ]0 k# e/ s7.二八定律
$ C m; @; U \! \( g在币圈:- F. O; S+ }# q N
. @2 j4 \- H+ V0 R- f# V
80% 的收入来自 20% 的协议。1 U7 [: }0 U0 K1 P# a+ P6 M
6 Y% I A7 W" ~" h80%的利润被20%的人拿走。
% P5 r) y2 e; _* q4 I
. C2 x" ^- N: g8 Z8 m我们大多数时候是8,而不是2,时刻警惕这一点。7 I1 l& z8 Y8 O; [
6 z+ |! T- a) ~ W$ g
8.网络效应8 N# o% Z: c! c ]* U
产品随着更多用户加入而更有价值。9 u! @) u9 T3 q/ p/ ~
0 |: T4 S, D6 D% ^0 g4 n3 V1 b想想脸书如果没人使用会有什么价值?1 b$ K3 C: h5 u8 |' ~1 J, g
) ~$ H, }/ X: i8 S1 f$ O' t H2 M
一个产品产生了网络效应,就成为了护城河。" X* [0 v' j( }/ J6 C
- \$ e1 v/ g: s# {$ C/ D, \4 u
投资时,要考虑什么产品能产生护城河。 往往只有一个产品能获胜。
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