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[1754] => 虚拟币存提
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[1756] => 银行卡
[1757] => 第三方支付
[1760] => 币圈大佬
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上次分享了第一篇,这次继续来分享第二篇。
( {6 G/ ^9 |) p# D, V3 b+ f6 Y E* {( @6 l$ D/ T
5. 废话的不对称原则
y R$ w9 K8 o& [反驳废话所需的能量比产生废话要大一个数量级。
' c! S3 ?% B' k6 b2 c" y C
7 i) b- ~; F; W8 f' P! G+ S' z回想: 写 luna 的优点=成千的点赞。/ M; f. q$ o3 _: \* o
, |: g7 C% t: \% \( E6 K/ i写 luna 的缺点=无数的敌人和谩骂。
' P% ~0 A' x1 V* }# m: P5 w
' Y& e( s9 h* e& @1 J每个周期,都会有邪教类型的项目,人们无视核心,只因利益一致而拼死维护。. z. C* n- m% x8 i7 M8 |; K- U9 d
+ o# M1 G1 s/ ~- U/ Z( ?1 w而对抗它们需要太多的精力。
2 w3 x2 d0 B& j; t
% `" a' a& }6 { u+ B4 ^+ x L7 p6.风险不可知原则(黑天鹅)8 U0 r$ p/ C& Z7 r3 t) o" |" l' U
被知道的风险:智能合约漏洞。
5 m5 u$ v, Q% |. Z
5 x* [# G3 V3 I# {8 V不可知的风险:911、3箭崩溃等。
4 U7 a1 P ^% s+ [( y/ d' [) V- H2 V, e T
因为不可知的风险一直存在,只有多样化才能防范。. G. g; B; k: ]4 p! [8 ~3 r7 {
4 }) | K. C6 H0 Y" B) _想象一下罕见事件:8 e9 `! `, b8 v: b' N
4 A0 x2 a. ^4 \2 s; i8 }$ I9 ~5 Y& a• 中本聪的钱包苏醒
) c+ p7 O1 w4 I9 O% {4 `" A( f6 K
; g, a- n3 S: F- u( L' [• 核打击
3 W9 V6 Y$ o3 N( m* G* w
. c& ~; G* x* {: {我们倾向于低估黑天鹅的影响!2 Y2 c! l3 X& I; b D& e
# w1 ]2 ^( H5 U" Y7 K7.二八定律
2 _0 } F0 ^( k/ K在币圈:
n- ~. h7 t2 |. z! m; t- r) G" J, x( n3 [
80% 的收入来自 20% 的协议。) i q1 t* n( R: U$ g$ M9 {
$ Z! G1 P2 ?; [- L \
80%的利润被20%的人拿走。% Z& z. \/ N6 A- _
8 k l. X( U3 T% A8 n$ h4 a; x我们大多数时候是8,而不是2,时刻警惕这一点。' c: c0 P" n( [4 Y$ f( C
* E" T, ?6 N0 K- `5 Y( K4 W8.网络效应
& I% L0 U9 T! l, K& U; t7 ]产品随着更多用户加入而更有价值。3 R$ _5 E0 L' \2 W
& z! g, H) A4 P2 a
想想脸书如果没人使用会有什么价值?
* S% k; _% B u8 {2 W3 N( u" g [! @1 L" V% ?. l
一个产品产生了网络效应,就成为了护城河。' @6 u d; b' o+ m+ D. |% G/ V7 X
" P3 f d9 d8 i4 k/ l$ `4 n
投资时,要考虑什么产品能产生护城河。 往往只有一个产品能获胜。9 i* z: n. R: I! C; a
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