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以太坊价格爆发,因为“坏消息就是好消息”
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尽管存在持续的“牛市陷阱”风险，以太在过去六天中反弹了近 40%。
由于投资者评估疲弱的美国经济数据及其缓解加息担忧的潜力，以太坊的原生代币 Ether ( ETH ) 与风险较高的资产一起上涨。
以太反映风险恢复
ETH 的价格在 6 月 24 日上涨至 8.31% 至 1,225 美元，这是在跌破 2021 年 1月以来的最低水平 880 美元后六天。
总体而言，上行回撤为多头带来了 40% 的收益，提高了对未来长期复苏的预期，同时减轻了对“干净的假冒”的担忧。
例如，独立市场分析师“PostyXBT”预计ETH 的价格将在 6 月底之前收于 1,300 美元以上。
相比之下，分析师“Wolf”担心空头会试图“将价格推回 1,047 美元”，尽管如果 ETH 保持在其对角线趋势线支撑位上方，他预计会上涨至 1,250 美元，如下所示。
以太坊在 2022 年受到美联储强硬政策的压力。但在最新的美国综合采购经理人报告显示制造业活动降至五个月低点后，这些担忧似乎正在消退。
FlowBank 首席投资官 Esty Dwek告诉华尔街日报：
“这应该会让美联储在某个时候软化。”
ETH/USD 日线图对比纳斯达克和标准普尔 500 指数。
尽管如此，PGIM Fixed Income 的联席首席投资官 Greg Peters警告称，目前风险市场的反弹可能不会持续下去。他不相信“如果经济放缓，央行将停止收紧政策”。
经典的看涨反转设置
以太币在 6 月 24 日的反弹也突破了构成“反向头肩”形态 (IH&S) 的下降阻力趋势线。
详细地说，以太在共同支撑位下方形成三个低谷后形成了 IH&S 模式，称为颈线。此外，中间的槽比其他两个或多或少相同高度的槽更深。
传统分析师将 IH&S 视为看涨反转设置，即他们在价格突破其颈线支撑后解决。作为一项规则，价格可能会上涨至突破后 IH&S 的最大高度。
具有 IH&S 设置的 ETH/USD 四小时价格图表。
因此，以太币在突破其 IH&S 颈线后，有望进一步向上回撤至 1,560 美元，较当前价格上涨近 33%。有趣的是，IH&S 利润目标与 ETH 的 200-4H 指数移动平均线（200-4H EMA；蓝色波浪）接近 1,537 美元一致。
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来源：金色财经 |
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