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1、几点涵义' P6 D5 j2 w* L( O/ k! B. I& h
(1)初盘:初盘通常用来观察受热方向,一般视初盘低水方为受热方。. e" T2 S5 ?$ m& p( |8 O3 O
(2)初赔:初赔通常也用来观察受热方向,一般通过欧亚对比的方式寻找受热方。盘口水位比赔率折合的水位更低的一方一般视为受热方。
5 A$ ^; X3 i: T8 G* \9 L" d注:通过初盘、初赔的判断,若两者方向相同,则可直接确定受热方向。若两者方向不同,则通常取盘口的低水方为受热方。
" c  `/ I5 [% @5 i(3)终盘:通过终盘与初盘的纵向比较,终赔与初赔的纵向比较,终盘与终赔的横向比较,决定上下盘取向。
4 x# R+ \/ R0 P4 m& Z, _9 xA、终盘与初盘的纵向比较,是用来分析受热是否成功,若受热方升盘、降水,即视为造热成功,一般出非受热一方。若受热方升水、降盘,即视为造热不成功,一般出受热一方。
+ t" M+ D8 ?+ X$ L5 x4 T5 T  Q# R  PB、终盘与终赔的横向比较,是用来分析庄家是否降低赔付。若欧亚对比,即时盘口水位比赔率折合的水位低一个级,如a、盘口是低水,赔率折合的是中低水,b、盘口是中高水,赔率折合是高水,则视为庄家在降低赔付,一般出降低赔付一方。反之亦然。如a、盘口是低水,赔率折合是高水,b、盘口是半球中水,赔率折合是平/半中水,则视为该方向受热,大热必死,出其对应的另一方。反之亦然。
+ M! @' j1 }$ D3 M' ^: x0 M# ?(4)终赔:同理于上一条。, c* a8 b; o( L6 Y( `+ @, [
注意:若终盘与初盘的纵向比较,与终盘和终赔的横向比较的结果不一致,一般视后者为正确理解。8 _( N1 i6 m8 C+ Q
: a1 Z2 h2 V% [. F( i9 p6 i! Q4 a
2、基本步骤
- f' }0 O. K5 O& F5 }& F(1)分析造热方向。
+ R3 h1 G- E. e% U( Z(2)确定造热是否成功。( ?, T) `/ m: Q2 [- z+ r$ E. h* E) Z
(3)得出相关上下盘结论。/ C& Y" L0 R5 Y" @9 h% M
例一:最基本、最简单的例子。赔率不变,盘口变。造热不成功型。
0 T4 c* v; }3 Q) P* e3 e7 g瑞典(主)VS捷克7 S& _- H- h! ^2 v' j7 u
初赔:2.30 3.10 2.75 ! G" e- z$ l% s" v! g0 |
初盘:0.80 平手 1.05 $ f( B: P$ m# g1 T( S8 t: O' t
终盘:1.05 平手/半球 0.80
3 i1 G9 y) I/ c% L! s见解:初赔支持平手低水或平/半满水,实际初盘平手低水,造热方向在上盘。临场时,赔率不变,实际盘平/半满水,有明显的阻上行为,且盘口与赔率非常吻合,造热不成功,上盘大好。结果顺利打出(2:1)。& ^+ G* j" }; {) G
例二:最基本、最简单的例子。赔率不变,盘口变。造热成功型。7 x  j$ j- {" ^7 @; E- \) L/ D$ k
比利时(主)VS希腊
/ s2 d2 |- l! O! ~  y% {  T初赔:2.25 3.15 2.80! G* M& S  @/ J* F* m  \+ d
初盘:1.00 平手/半球 0.85
* M7 Q3 F. _0 {# o1 W6 g终盘:1.025 平手/半球 0.825 . p2 k# R+ Y7 y' g, V
见解:初赔支持平/半高水,实际初盘平半高水或中高水,造热方向在下盘。临场时,赔率不变,实际盘平/半高水,有明显的阻上行为,且盘口与赔率非常吻合,下盘造热成功,上盘大好。结果上盘顺利打出(2:0)。
, f$ e/ N. l% M' _8 y' q2 b例三:最常见的。赔率、盘口都变。以变换后的赔率为基调进行研究。. j# U9 S# b! |) o  a
意大利VS爱尔兰(主)- X/ I$ @$ a; S; A3 y
初赔:2.50 3.00 2.60 3 @7 a) c% [# c' U4 z
终赔:2.40 3.00 2.70 / z' P5 a" h2 n' i
初盘:0.85 平手 1.00
5 F+ g/ F' b5 b5 J终盘:0.775 平手 1.075 & Z" y/ o' n1 `* `' w# X
见解:初赔支持平手中水,实际盘平手低水,造上盘。临场时赔率支持平手中低水,实际盘平手超低水。这里请注意,如果从初盘与终盘的对比来看上盘造热成功,该出下盘。但请注意两点,一是变了赔后,支持中低水,实际盘是超低水,水位恰好低一级,正是出上盘的表现。二是本身给出超低水,也很明显在降低赔付。因此上盘顺利打出,比分2:1。
% r4 a8 K' c$ b) j0 S6 y  |) [) m' k/ [) |5 F3 C
3、几点相关定义
0 _  Q, O4 e6 f4 P9 T: E9 E(1)低水方:上盘和下盘中水位较低的一方,一般可理解为低水方为受热方,也可理解为低水方为降低赔付方。
- d  K4 K* L" h(2)诱上、诱下:庄家通过一些变盘手法,而使闲家产生上盘或下盘形势更好的想法。一般低水称为诱。
) P' H3 ~% e; h$ G+ z1 x(3)阻上、阻下:庄家通过一些变盘手法,而使闲家产生上盘或下盘形势不好的想法。一般高水称为阻。
# q- m5 ~* z1 l0 {6 u* b注意:中水既在诱又不阻。非常危险。
6 h( i: r" N# w' @(4)换位思考:每个盘口都有上盘和下盘,因人而异会有很多不同的想法。当你产生某一种想法时,一定要设想与你对立面的人的想法,并否定他。如果能否定,请肯定你的想法,如果不能否定,请对你的想法持怀疑态度,当然,不是叫你肯定别人的想法。
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2#
看看楼主的心得和方法
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3#
感谢分享心法啊,增加认识了
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4#
学习了 楼主 谢谢
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