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[lastpost] => 2780060 比特币大户正在抛售，但随着需求减弱，买家寥寥无几。（转） 1764130931 小作文
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[虚拟币交流]
比特币跌至 9.3 万美元，引发剧烈波动和“极度恐慌”：接下来会发生什么？（转）
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本周加密货币市场整体下跌比特币周末期间跌至93,029美元的低点，引发了……清算周日成交额接近 5.79 亿美元。1 ?1 |$ r5 i9 ]2 `
' b9 |0 _0 z* Y% C7 F比特币周一早盘收复失地，目前交易价格为95,453美元，当日下跌0.1%。CoinGecko 数据.
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周末的暴跌形成了一个广为流传的看跌卖出信号，称为“死亡交叉”。当50日均线向下穿过200日均线时，就会形成死亡交叉。交易和技术分析界普遍认为，死亡交叉是牛市和熊市的分界线。
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( O3 z- V! e, ECEX.IO 的零碎交易主管 Yaroslav Patsira 表示：“比特币下跌主要是由于不确定性造成的。”解密他解释说，尽管美国ZF决定重新开放经济，但由于“几份关键的经济报告尚未发布”，市场仍然处于盲目状态。# f- ?! z: z: m
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帕齐拉补充说：“目前还不清楚美联储在12月份会采取什么行动，市场对降息的预期已经大幅下降。”. Y5 q8 K7 l& {5 a$ w! [
. Q, G0 S3 I! H! X- V# z此次回调已将市场情绪推至“极度恐慌”状态。加密货币恐惧与贪婪指数这表明，在比特币持续下跌的趋势下，投资者感到恐慌，比特币价格已从本周高点 106,562 美元下跌了 10%。
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3 P: ~$ S, m# F# B5 J! W: K预测市场无数恐惧与贪婪永续情绪市场略微偏空，显示出51/49 的票数倾向于恐惧。.
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（免责声明：Myriad 归……所有）解密母公司 Dastan）
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! U9 e, p% Z z# sSynfutures首席执行官兼联合创始人瑞秋·林表示：“极度恐惧是一种行为信号。”解密“投资者目前风险规避情绪高涨，这通常会导致流动性紧缩和短期波动性加剧。”
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林补充说，情绪指标显示了我们在链上看到的情况，并强调了“ETF需求疲软、已实现抛售增加以及杠杆头寸快速清算”。$ \4 Y/ [8 w6 G6 D: j6 D0 R' }0 d
& `# m9 B: W. Z这种悲观情绪也反映在Myriad的预测中，该预测认为比特币在达到115,000美元之前跌至85,000美元的概率为[此处原文缺失]。向上滚动自周六以来，该比例从 43% 上升至 55%。6 b+ |# ]" F: G, c9 P
3 ], i9 g( h% l1 r比特币的下一步发展方向是什么？
# k1 O7 O! [& F$ H专家指出，比特币将经历一段波动加剧和盘整的时期，其近期走势很大程度上取决于宏观经济数据和机构资金流动。( d2 N. l H; W) O
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“停摆结束应该能缓解一些流动性压力；这对市场有利，但似乎不会改变游戏规则，”帕齐拉强调说。- x: h, n; d% g1 H9 a7 E5 Z
" w$ j( |9 l, j1 [! U4 ], h% I9 E; r他指出，虽然激进的抛售可能正在放缓，“但比特币可能需要一段时间进行盘整，然后才会出现趋势转变。”: Z8 Z3 j+ O, v5 }" S( A% _
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林补充道：“如果美国宏观经济数据（通胀/就业）降低了12月降息的可能性，包括比特币在内的风险资产可能会继续承压。” 相反，她指出，“任何ETF资金流入的切实加速或更明确的监管成果都可能重新刺激需求。”
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Bitget首席分析师Ryan Lee表示：“在当前环境下……交易员应保持谨慎。”解密他指出，系统性风险依然存在，而且“避险情绪”可能会持续下去，预计比特币短期内将在 9 万美元至 11 万美元之间交易。8 l/ D9 I; X1 I6 Z4 B6 |
4 A! T) C3 j8 y市场普遍认为应采取“观望”策略。投资者应密切关注ETF资金流动数据和链上抛售指标等关键信号，因为市场正在寻找能够突破当前调整阶段的明确催化剂。6 R7 m8 `$ v S; D3 w" p) }
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这波回调看着吓人，但比特币这尿性跌完肯定还得蹦跶起来 |
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