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[lastpost] => 2768743 从对立到共存？德银预测：黄金与比特币未来或同列央行储备 1758786682 rainwang
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7月1日晚，复旦大学经济学院举办“稳定币与国际金融大变局”线上研讨会。会上，复旦大学国际金融研究中心主任杨长江认为，
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稳定币近年来迅速“出圈”，既受到美国总统特朗普的政策偏好等偶然因素影响，也体现了全球化与金融化在数字经济时代共振耦合的
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! r: _1 E" Q4 h: b8 p# _必然趋势。杨长江指出，美国高度重视稳定币，其背后是出于维持美元霸权的考量。
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他认为，稳定币是代币化时代货币形态演进的阶段性成果，虽存在诸多问题，但其货币属性已初具雏形。它实现了三大平衡：一* r6 x) w/ Y- [/ e) @. Z% Y
9 i9 C2 n8 N$ C( y$ ?- R是公权与私权的结合，以法定货币为锚、由市场机构发行；二是中心化与去中心化的融合，在链上形成去中心化交易基础的同时保留
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! @, E, z D- T* e2 s发行方控制力；三是链上与链下的协同，既服务于数字世界，也在现实世界的跨境支付、金融包容等方面展现出广泛应用。9 F7 F( m+ |1 u: u
8 K D% I( |% w' K 杨长江表示，尽管国际清算银行在其最新报告中对稳定币提出严厉批评，认为其在货币基本功能方面不合格，但我们应以更开放、
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% [3 `9 j/ x B. ^" z% M5 j* T& S包容的态度看待这一新兴事物。他强调，随着商业银行逐步参与稳定币发行，未来将出现科技公司与金融机构之间的竞争与合作格局，
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也将进一步推动数字金融生态的发展。
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- R, g2 l7 i1 M0 ~* Y+ Q8 D 关于稳定币背后的全球化演进问题，杨长江说道，“美国这么热心做这件事情，有它的考虑。过去美元以黄金、石油为支撑，未来则
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可能是数字资产。如果美国控制住了数字世界，那么美元霸权未来就更有希望延续。”8 g) e/ f9 y+ t% J$ E$ B8 o
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他还提出，美国推行稳定币的背后不仅是为美国国债创造了操作性需求，更是一个战略性想法——企图构建链上以美元为基准的下& B6 a; n1 K, k, X* [/ {+ _
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一个代币化的全球金融体系。
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2 {& ^7 c8 {5 W- E& f2 F5 K 在谈及人民币国际化时，杨长江建议天朝采取“双轨并行”战略：一方面加快央行数字货币建设，另一方面积极探索人民币锚定型稳定
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5 S) t9 q2 o0 W- L币的发展路径，尤其应在香港、上海等地创造应用场景，主动适应数字金融趋势。他表示，天朝应把握数字金融发展机遇，在监管与创新* a+ k' M; ~3 I$ |( d6 V
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之间找到平衡点，为人民币国际化开辟新空间。
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% S, m/ V9 M7 P) b+ R' ~ 人民币国际化，应该是两条腿走路。传统的贸易、投资项下推广人民币使用，以及试点央行数字人民币等，这是一条腿。另外一条腿就
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是推行人民币稳定币，规范和推广实际上已经存在的人民币稳定币贸易结算。我们需要双管齐下，来找到最合适的途径。
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