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[lastpost] => 2750392 比特币交易员注意！—为什么这个指标预示BTC可能下跌20%（转） 1752889314 22301
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[虚拟币交流]
比特币维持在 10.5 万美元以上：长期投资者会推动 BTC 的下一轮反弹吗？（转）
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长期持有者依然坚定持有，比特币仍处于积累阶段。# a- ~3 {# h8 ~8 L# e# N x
现货市场采购活动增强了现有的看涨情绪。2 Y+ x' w5 B" C a; l G2 g X
在过去的24小时内，比特币[BTC]价格上涨 1.12%，截至发稿时交易价格超过 105,000 美元。
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尽管市场普遍动荡，但比特币价格依然保持坚挺，这主要得益于长期持有者的积极参与。AMBCrypto 分析了这一趋势是否可持续。! ?% S& y0 T+ R5 O6 `" p/ x9 ~
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长期持有者没有抛售迹象; E& J8 k" j& y+ R# b
比特币的 RHODL 比率（将长期持有者（6 个月至 2 年）与短期持有者（1 天至 3 个月）进行比较）显示后者仍在持有。
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Q5 j2 N( w" P, X- Y! Y" j" H. V值得注意的是，RHODL 比率目前低于 2，低于 2024 年的高点，表明长期抛售压力仍然很小。
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截至发稿时，重要市场指标普尔倍数 (Puell Multiple) 显示读数低于 1.40。
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这一指标很重要，因为它表明机构和现货市场投资者正在利用积累阶段来购买资产。9 O% \! z Q1 C2 y/ I
- c1 ^4 \) ^2 B K从历史上看，当普尔倍数保持在 1.40 水平以下时，它与积累期一致 - 表明比特币具有更大的上涨潜力。
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4 L- V& v/ m$ M2 O0 ]AMBCrypto 进一步评估市场参与者是否正在积累或分配资产。
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现货和传统投资者购买比特币的人数下降) H. c9 V. Q/ H$ @! [7 g+ F0 Y
现货市场活动和传统投资者都增加了购买活动。* f- X# K, s7 M
; |; X1 z$ X+ [8 }& m) j) \过去24小时内，现货市场投资者购买比特币的金额为6055万美元。然而，这是过去五天以来的最低单日购买量。
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/ E) q' w/ }5 {/ x) Q* _- ?与此同时，传统投资者支出 3.017 亿美元，创下五天购买量最高的记录之一。
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此项活动证实，投资者正试图利用当前 105,000 美元的价格水平，根据 Puell Multiple，这仍被视为折扣。- g6 r( ^+ Y7 A9 B+ \
9 ^0 H6 h) k/ ], f+ Q9 M问题依然存在：所有细分市场都会遵循积累趋势吗？AMBCrypto 进行了更深入的挖掘，发现了更多见解。. J' b y( O# N) \3 q0 U, ~' ?
0 p0 u" o# x& ?加密基金进入市场：供应紧缩？( t& |- Y& `* R" |1 ]- s# s
截至发稿时，基金市场溢价显示加密投资基金也在购买比特币。
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" @) n, |( u, X当基金市场溢价进入图表上的正值区域时（目前为 0.1），就会发生买入。
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/ L* p' ~( F$ Z0 C) l+ T: w+ m该指标的持续上升表明，比特币可能会保持其上涨趋势，尤其是与其他增持指标一起来看时。这也增加了供应紧缩的可能性。! y8 L. J8 S+ e3 ^
2 s7 R8 S' w$ c+ E+ `" M& q当需求超过供应时，就会出现供应紧缩，从而推高资产价格。
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