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7.23币世界余勋 凌晨行情补充 7.27前不宜追大熊市的反弹末期 先空 后多需待消息落地
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近期的行情萎靡,余勋也休息了段时间。
但一直关注行情,简单说下行情。
膨胀高烧,持续不退!六月CPI在25-50-75基点,再度刷新新高,但同比上涨9%幅度,上升幅度有所缓解。
鲍威尔言下之意,100基点,一切皆有可能。
但市场却反向走之、
随着特斯拉的抛售套现,巨鲸减持10万枚比特币。
行情短暂于七连阳大阴线后,市场隔日有所回升。
但日线仍出现上影,说明这里仍偏重压。且接力偏乏力。
为什么,因为市场此刻在赌。
赌cpi出现峰值瓶颈,上升幅度减缓,随着75基点落地,缩表开启。市场很难进一步利空。
但7.26-7.27的会议上仍是关注重点。
议会,其实志在加息软着陆,目前其实接近实施过半,市场普遍开始接受默认也在消化。
市场也出现了近2/3的大幅度夭折,再度向下破位,难度较大。
这一次的7连阳,已经是近几月以来的最大反弹。
这是好的信号,也是吹响反攻的号角。
但余勋仍较为谨慎,这里暂不具备大牛市的条件,有的是,离场资金,终于开启了恢复进场情绪。
但离加息落地较近,特别是这轮反弹的大量消耗。
切记不可追涨。做多完全可待消息落地,再做跟进。
首先,现货跟进,安心持有,被套。七月低点,是个人考量的加仓点。小币种,依旧不是重心所选。
大浪淘沙,跌成渣渣的,无价值考量的不建议参与。
短线,27号前。
仍建议以23500-24200间,做高空埋伏。
长线持有待定,但短期,这里不会大幅度连续突破甩开。
低多,等27号后。
夜间至凌晨、
大饼建议23350高空,23650补仓 防守23800
目标22800-22300
以太反弹至1620-1630高空 补仓1640 防守1650
目标看齐1565-1545
追涨杀跌是大忌,行情本身振幅就大。切记轻仓,
带防守,心态好,是致胜关键。保持较好的容错率。
操作起来就事半功倍。
更多实时,及中长线布局。线上为主。
超长线,耐心点。牛熊穿越已过半。现在不是最恐慌的时候。
这个市场的吸引力,远不是其余市场可相媲美的。
来源:金色财经 |
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