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盘中宝——加密市场风险偏好上升 特斯拉Q2出售75%比特币持仓
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鉴于新鲜出炉的企业财报表现良好,投资者继续押注股市已经筑底,风险投资偏好升高,加密市场也出现一定反弹。另外,伴随三箭资本破产清算开始有序进展,市场恐慌情绪出现一定下降,恐慌贪婪指数也出现一定上涨,但目前市场行情整体为反弹,反转仍需一定时间。另外,CoinShares最新报告显示,上周数字资产投资产品净流入1220万美元,其中做空比特币的投资产品流入1480万美元。由此可见市场做空力量仍然很强。
大盘概述——比特币受阻回落,特斯拉Q2出售75%比特币持仓
一、大盘行情
据币赢行情显示,BTC昨日上攻受阻于MA65,上方抛压上升,资金出现一定出逃迹象,下方短线获得MA5支撑,BTC后市预计维持宽幅震荡。BTC 24小时涨幅-1.22%,ETH 24小时涨幅-1.54%。
数据观察
据Coinmarket数据显示,BTC目前市值占比42.7%(昨天42.2%),BTC市值占比略有回升。据alternative.me数据显示,今日恐慌与贪婪指数为34(昨日31),市场恐慌情绪有所上升。据OKLink数据显示,灰度GBTC溢价率为-28.50%(昨日-28.70%),GBTC溢价率变化不大。据币coin数据显示,截止今日13时,BTC当前资金费率 +0.002%(昨日+0.01%),资金做多力量有所下降;目前比特币RSI 14(买卖相对强弱指数)为57.56(昨日65.85),场内买盘力量有所下降。
宏观消息
北京时间21日凌晨,美股周三收高,三大股指均触及6月初以来的最高水平,科技股领涨,Netflix大涨7.4%。
黑石:美联储加息周期会持续更长时间,预计利率将接近5%;
特斯拉Q2出售75%比特币持仓套现9.36亿美元,单枚均价约为2.9万美元;
马斯克:对未来增持比特币持开放态度;
国际足联已为2026年世界杯提交元宇宙及加密相关商标申请;
纽约梅隆银行和高盛在HQLA x区块链平台上执行首笔证券借贷交易;
二、板块异动——Elrond板块盘中跌幅较大,Moonbirds Oddities NFT系列开图
板块数据
加密市场板块跌幅前五板块有: Elrond生态(-8.5%)、Terra 生态(-7.4%)、Solana生态(-7.1%)、Storage(-6.7%)、Olympus Pro(-6.6%);
机构投资板块
在A16Z Portfolio 板块中,24小时跌幅前三的币种:FLOW、AR、ROSE;
在Coinbase Ventures Portfolio板块中24小时跌幅排名前三的币种:AR、RSR、FLOW;
在DCG Portfolio 板块中,24小时跌幅排名前三的币种为:RSR、API3、FLOW;
在Pantera Capital Portfolio板块中,24小时涨幅前三的币种为:MIR、PTF、BTC;
在Animoca Brands 板块中,24小时涨幅前三的币种为:PROS、AMAS、GMEE;
板块消息
Moonbirds Oddities NFT系列开图;
足球NFT平台Aera宣布与意大利足球甲级联赛官方达成合作关系;
巴西金融科技公司BEE4即将推出首个本地代币化股票市场;
Galaxy的以太坊基金已购买7500万美元的ETH;
三、大币种异动——FLOW盘中跌幅较大,Polygon将推出Polygon zkEVM公共测试网
加密市场排名前一百的币种中,跌幅前五的币种有: FLOW(-11.0%)、QNT(-10.5%)、AR(-10.3%)、EGLD(-10.1%)、BAT(-10.1%);
热门赛道币种异动
DeFi赛道排名涨幅前三:RAMP、BOND、BSW;
NFT赛道排名涨幅前三: SWFTC、BSW、ATLAS;
Play To Earn 板块7日涨幅排名前三: MEDA、BSW、ATLAS;
每日热度最高的前五个币种分别为: BTC、CULT、NTRC、CAKE、ETH;
大币种
Coinbase将上线GNO、MTL、SWFTC、SYLO和ABT;
Polygon将推出Polygon zkEVM公共测试网,预计明年发布主网;
zkSync宣布zkSync 2.0将在100天后在主网上线。
Double Protocol发布最新路线图,将全面布局Utility NFT使用场景;
“1P5ZE”开头比特币巨鲸地址余额清零;
韩国检察官突击搜查加密货币交易所以调查Terraform崩盘事件;
四、合约数据异动——BTC空头持仓占优,短线多空博弈激烈
据币coin数据显示,截止13:00,BTC在Bitmex上多空持仓量比为:多头38.45%,空头61.55%,空头持仓占优。据OKx合约数据显示,在小时图上,BTC多空持仓人数比震荡走高。综合来看,BTC合约市场空头持仓占优,多空持仓人数比震荡走高,BTC后市预计多空博弈激烈。
五、大V观点——灰度正积极准备与美SEC的诉讼,上周做空比特币的投资产品流入1480万美元
灰度首席法务官Craig Salm表示,灰度正在积极准备与美国证券交易委员会(SEC)的诉讼。该公司及其律师正在“集中精力”撰写他们的诉讼要点,以便在起诉美国SEC的案件中向上诉法院提交。Craig Salm称,SEC拒绝比特币现货ETF可能违反了《行政程序法》,理由在于SEC认为比特币现货ETF没有对市场操纵行为有足够的保护,但市场操纵也同样会影响期货价格,而比特币期货ETF已获得通过。
CoinShares最新报告显示,上周数字资产投资产品净流入1220万美元,其中做空比特币的投资产品流入1480万美元,比特币、以太坊投资产品则分别流出260万美元以及250万美元。
六、研报解读——一文梳理中金深入解读Web3要点
Web3目前市场中很多人在讨论的话题,这也逐渐在成为一种新的趋势,本文选取《中金深入解读 Web3:以 DAO 为道,生态共荣》一文进行解读,核心内容如下:
1. 缘起于 Web2.0 超级平台主导生态必然的不平衡性,我们需要一个新的范式,这就是 Web3.0——基于区块链的,去中心化和代币经济激励的新的生产关系。 从 Web3.0 的革命性来讲,其意在基于区块链技术,建立一种新型社会协作模式和利益分配机制,将其定义为「生态共荣模型」,这种社区型生态共荣模型特点有开放生态、共荣、核心环节自治。
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