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本帖为抢楼帖，欢迎抢楼!
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几率这个总是平等的 但是还是这次出了，下次粗的概率就是会小了很多 |
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9 S* g' R u4 x有时候靠几率也是会害死人的 |
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1/2概率游戏在理论上讲输赢都应该是50对50，输赢各半的结果，但是玩起来却明显不是那回事。
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3 W, \6 j5 j, m, h# T这个我来告诉你吧。。50对50，输赢是对半，但是我们真正玩起来，许许多多的人却感觉是输的多。。) D: R% { f3 D, B5 \; S
1 Q2 J' t! v: ^+ H6 N# A" y, t: T9 A+ ]为什么？% h& A* A# r) t! g! L
/ g4 J6 ]( |0 F* h1、因为下注的次数太多了（任何人都逃不过5050）。如果只玩一把肯定是5050。/ D: A9 A4 v; [9 b9 V. s
2、因为资金问题。如果资金一样，也可能是5050。
$ `) t6 E& U5 ] 假如你只有最后一个码了，而你打的是平注。。每一把输赢都是50比50。
$ l3 t5 x1 R6 W0 m 第一把赢，你有两个码，平注，无限继续下去的话，你输光的概率是1/4
+ T% k" T; Y* k3 \ 第一把输，你没有了。
2 }$ @: e, g+ ?" M N; M 第二把赢，你有三个码，平注，无限继续下去的话，你输光的概率是1/8。
/ x% e, O- U: x. @ X9 Y: C/ L 第二把输赢，你还可以继续。。
% [- y3 A; @6 O' T1 u8 ` …………无限下去。 M1 A" u! B) M; ^( ~0 S
清袋的概念，不是50比50。。而是1/2+1/4+1/8+1/16+1/32……
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是多少你自己算吧。。这还不算抽水呢。。' o3 I" e) D2 O: V# t2 ^" Y
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这就是总是输的原因。。
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为什么我还要继续玩下去呢？？1 v% w0 w, y7 k6 l% Q
1 G# q$ X/ l2 v# m1、我觉得可以打偏差。
) Z1 \3 s2 u# z2 R f2、存送1%，返水1%，加上我只想取入场的1%。我觉得我应该就是DC。。- H: b8 `) Y. z! r1 d' u
0 B. S, V4 x# T) D3 J, M* a但是，这，，，只是理论，实践考虑的因素更多。。6 b7 i: s0 Y) b
1 P) b' B: Y5 y3 a8 k$ B1 g: O/ g人的心态不可控，人的行为不可控，人的习惯不可控。。 |
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大家说的50对50指的是每次下注时的选择，所以我们每次下注都要做一次选择，运气不好的话，就会连续选择错误，也就是连黑了 |
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5050 的说法是不对的，在正常的不作弊的情况下，庄家还有抽水的比例呀。 |
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菠菜的公平之处在于机率各占一半，庄家之所以占优当然是因为抽水了，反复的抽水导致玩家大部分都输钱。 |
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