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尽管 ETH 价格反弹了 30% 但仍有风险
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以太坊的原生代币 Ether ( ETH ) 在 6 月 18 日跌至 880 美元的 18 个月以来的最低水平后经历了大幅反弹。
ETH 价格两天内回升 30%
6 月 19 日，以太币的价格达到了 1150 美元以上，仅在两天内就上涨了 30% 以上。然而，在6 月 20 日新的每周交易时段开始时，ETH/USD 对暗示放弃周末的涨幅，其价格从 1150 美元的高点下跌了近 9%。
独立市场分析师 PostyXBT告诉他的 79800 名追随者要小心最新的 ETH 价格反弹，并指出此举“将导致彻底的假冒”。摘自他的声明：
“这似乎是一个将多头转向 1250 美元的机会，但 BTC 仍未恢复到类似水平。”
下一个 ETH 价格熊市目标：700-800 美元
这些声明显示为以太币，以及其他顶级加密货币，包括比特币 ( BTC )、索拉纳 ( SOL ) 和卡尔达诺 ( ADA )，已进入熊市。
ETH/USD 现在的交易价格比其 4951 美元的历史高点低了 77%，但一些代币较 2021 年的峰值水平下跌了 90%。
对美联储鹰派政策的担忧抑制通胀引发了这些抛售，同时损害了部分传统股票市场。具体来说，美国央行计划将基准利率提高到 2023 年，这可能会使投资者购买 BTC 和 ETH 等风险较高的资产的流动性减少。
此外，由所谓的去中心化金融 (DeFi) 部门引发的强制抛售和流动性问题增加了加密市场的下行压力，从而限制了以太坊继续其复苏反弹的前景。
分析师表示，ETH 尚未触底，其价格可能进一步跌至 700-800 美元区间。
ETH 价格触底迹象？
同时，一项跟踪以太坊市场价值与实际价值之间差异的指标表明，ETH/USD 正在触底反弹。
所谓的“MVRV-Z 分数”用于评估以太币相对于其“公平”或已实现价值何时被高估或低估。因此，当市场价值超过实际价值时，它在历史上标志着牛市顶部。
相反，低于实际价值的市场价值表明熊市底部（下图中的绿色区域）。Ether 的 MVRV-Z 分数在 6 月初进入了相同的购买区域，现在正在其中进行整合。
但这并不一定意味着趋势逆转，根据 2018 年熊市期间见证的 MVRV 价格关系。
值得注意的是，Ether 的 MVRV Z-Score 在 2018 年 8 月 12 日滑入绿色区域，当时价格约为 319 美元。但以太坊代币在 2018 年 12 月 14 日触底反弹，当时价格接近 85 美元。
换句话说，如果链上分形在 2022 年仍然有效，那么以太坊充其量已经进入了触底反弹阶段。
以上内容为个人观点，仅供参考，不构成投资建议。
我是区块链研究爱好者火山，币圈不知名美女，喜欢的点个关注叭~
来源：金色财经 |
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