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冷风说币：以太率先到底目标位 是否还会继续上攻？2022.07.16
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当前离线
经验:
天策币:
活跃币:
策小分:
总在线: 分钟
本月在线: 分钟
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市场消息
美国 6 月零售销售月率录得 1%，超过预期的 0.8%。
美国零售销售月率统计的是美国一个月零售销售数额的变化数据，由美国商务部负责统计并公布，是美国上月零售销售数额与上上月对比的增长率。一般每月中旬公布上月数据。公布值大于预测值则利好美元，反之公布值小于预测值则利空美元。
消费支出是美国经济的主要驱动力，消费者支出约占美国经济的三分之二。
虽然说6 月份的零售销售数字并没有根据通胀进行调整。但不管是因为汽油价格上涨，还是汽车销量增加，消费者支出仍保持稳定，最终公布统计的结果好于预期，这对市场而言就足够了。受此消息刺激，美国三大股指集体收涨，道指涨超655点，纳指涨1.7%，多只银行股大涨。
目前，金融市场上最大的争论就是美国经济是否已经陷入衰退，因为相关经济数据明显好坏参半：通货膨胀正在肆虐，但就业市场却炙手可热。现在美国6月零售销售增长还算强劲，终究对提振美国经济来说是件好事，
通胀率，就业率，零售销售月率……数据都陆续出台了，接下来就要看美联储如何解读这些数据了，毕竟这关系到月底是加息 75 个基点，还是加息 100 个基点的问题。
行情分析
BTC短线支撑20300-20600美元，短线压力21200-21800美元。美股昨晚全线收阳，大饼继续震荡上行。今日是周末，个人认为没有特别原因，大饼仍会保持震荡上行的格局。冷风提醒大家一点，由于目前市场还是存量资金在搏弈，因此大饼可能不出现较大拉升。如果出现了，反而要小心。
比特币昨天震荡上行，昨天提示如果走的强势可以关注20500附近支撑，发文后币价最低也就在20500附近，最高至21200美元附近，符合冷风昨天说的震荡上行。
今天的行情分析，冷风在大方向依旧是看涨，震荡上行，但是小时级别macd有明显有顶背离，短线我们先看回调，企稳后可以继续接多。
ETH短线支撑1180-1200美元，短线压力1280-1300美元。以太坊依旧强于比特币先一步走到关键压力，目前面临着对1280美元的前压突破问题，突出了则可能会进入1300-1500美元空间内运行。冷风认为短期多次到关键压力突破那是迟早的事情，各位对于大趋势无需担忧，短线也是跟大饼一起的背离，我们关注一下回踩的点位接多即可。主流币跟随大饼波动，按照大饼节奏操作。重点关注uni,sushi。
山寨币三个原则，大饼稳，板块热，龙头强。冷风认为山寨币炒作有二点，一是大饼要稳。二是要抓住主线。冷风一再强调，存量资金搏弈，局部式行情，而这局部就是山寨币。这二天山寨币的表现已经证明冷风判断的正确，冷风第一看好DEFI板块，其次公链生态，再次是次新币板块。 来源：金色财经 |
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