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目前市场具有熊市后期的许多特征,但市场尚未触底!
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根据 Glassnode 的一份新报告，虽然许多指标表明市场可能已经接近底部，但时间将是最终的决定因素
由于散户投资者和矿工的持续投降，比特币财富正在从弱手分配到强手，这表明底部可能已经接近。
区块链分析公司 Glassnode 于 7 月 11 日发布的最新“链上周”报告解释说，市场投降已经持续了大约一个月，其他几个信号表明比特币价格已见底。
然而，Glassnode 分析师写道，熊市“仍然需要持续时间的因素”，因为对比特币作为一种技术更有信心的长期持有者（LTH）越来越多地承担最大的未实现损失。
“对于熊市达到最终底线，亏损持有的代币份额应该主要转移给那些对价格最不敏感且信念最高的人。”
他们补充说，市场可能需要进一步的“下行风险来充分考验投资者的决心，并使市场能够建立一个有弹性的底部。”
未实现损失是持有人卖出前头寸的美元价值损失。
Glassnode 做出这一评估是基于观察到在 2015 年和 2018 年之前的熊市中，LTH 持有超过 34% 的未实现损失的比特币（BTC）供应。STH比例仅占3%至4%。
目前，短期持有人 (STH) 持有 16.2% 的亏损代币，而 LTH 持有 28.5%。它补充说，代币正在转向新的 STH，他们的目标是推测价格，但对资产的信心不足。
这意味着随着 LTH 获得更多代币，他们必须拥有钻石手，这意味着他们不能卖出，以便分析师注意到真正的市场底部。Cointelegraph 赞同这一想法，承认 Delphi Digital 也认为在当前市场条件下需要更多时间才能将其称为底部。
出售硬币的比特币矿工证明市场可能正在测试底部范围。Glassnode 证明，自 5 月下旬以来，矿工已售出 7,900 |
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