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[lastpost] => 2774971 比特币的看跌势头和期权市场：2025 年第三季度资本重新配置的情绪驱动分析（转） 1760890935 小钱儿
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[虚拟币交流]
摩根大通：比特币相较黄金被低估 或在年底前升至16.5万美元（转）
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摩根大通(307.55, -3.16, -1.02%)的分析师表示，比特币价格可能在年底前攀升至16.5万美元，他们认为，从波动率调整后的基础来看，比特币相对于黄金被低估了。( N8 L" h# K% Q% B; n
/ v2 L: q* Z- \3 D 由董事总经理Nikolaos Panigirtzoglou领导的摩根大通分析师在周三的一份报告中称，比特币与黄金的波动率比率已降至2.0以下，这意味着比特币目前消耗的风险资本约为黄金的1.85倍。
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, f% I/ }# s& G# B 他们写道，基于这一比率，比特币目前2.3万亿美元的市值需要上涨约42%，“这意味着比特币的理论价格为16.5万美元”，才能与通过ETF、金条和金币等方式投资黄金的约6万亿美元私人投资相匹配。- _* Y X* R9 ]0 f0 J
) g! @% D8 ]9 S) S( f0 o5 u$ d4 ? 分析师们指出，估值差距已从2024年底比特币被高估3.6万美元，转变为如今相对于波动率调整后的黄金水平被低估约4.6万美元。5 y/ Z9 w; l! L# l+ d. _
; f1 M3 d+ J7 Y: O7 @2 ~7 p 他们表示：“因此，这种机械计算可能意味着比特币有显著的上涨空间。”
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看来摩根大通这波直接给了硬目标，年底16.5万刀，信心拉满了呀。
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