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[lastpost] => 2778667 比特币抛售持续——加密货币市场整体下行势头增强（转） 1762243667 rainwang
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[虚拟币交流]
比特币价格预测：摩根大通预测未来比特币将上涨 40%（转）
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摩根大通表示，比特币的交易价格可能仍远低于其真实价值，并认为该资产在风险调整后达到与黄金平价之前还有 40% 的上涨空间。 该银行的模型将“公平”价格定为接近 165,000 美元——比今天的水平高出近 50,000 美元。 贬值对冲摩根大通将看涨前景与其所谓的“贬值交易”联系起来，即投资者对冲货币贬值的风险[url=]菲亚特[/url] [url=]ZF发行的货币，例如美元、欧元、日元等。[/url] & O9 H/ e3 g/ p& l
[url=]" >菲亚特[/url]黄金和比特币等稀缺资产的货币。这一主题在2025年全年都势头强劲，其推动力来自[url=]通货膨胀这是一个经济概念，指商品和服务价格上涨，导致法定货币购买力下降。 4 U& ^' I) X: V+ W$ @
“>通货膨胀[/url]、美国赤字飙升以及对央行信誉的担忧。$ z- V0 o, c* u7 H
零售与机构活动数据显示，小投资者占据主导地位。现货比特币和黄金ETF在过去一个季度吸收了大量资金，尤其是在美国大选前夕。机构投资者也较为活跃，但更依赖芝加哥商品交易所（CME）。[url=]期货[/url] [url=]一种衍生合约，概述了在未来特定日期以预定价格购买或出售特定资产的协议。[/url]
8 O7 n. c7 u' O, [* s0 n[url=]“>期货[/url]合约而非ETF。. h$ X; M% ^% t* e7 |3 u
今年早些时候，比特币ETF吸引了更多关注，但自8月以来，黄金基金开始缩小与比特币ETF的差距。即便如此，摩根大通表示，这两类资产在各个投资者群体中仍保持净增持。 比特币优于黄金尽管黄金价格大幅上涨，但摩根大通指出，比特币的相对[url=]挥发性[/url] [url=]该术语指的是加密货币的价格在特定时间范围内偏离其平均值的程度。[/url]
" Y2 \: k) k" \9 v[url=]“>波动性[/url]市场情绪降温，导致其比特币与黄金的比率跌破 2.0。这一转变是该行认为比特币相对于黄金被低估的一个关键原因。* f" _. H6 f4 e, a( \
如果差距缩小，以尼古拉斯·帕尼吉尔佐格鲁 (Nikolaos Panigirtzoglou) 为首的分析师认为，比特币可以巩固其作为数字黄金的地位——不仅是一种投机工具，而且可以作为多元化投资组合中的长期对冲工具。
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摩根大通这分析挺有意思啊，把BTC和黄金直接挂钩，等于承认它的避险地位了。按他们的逻辑，后面真还有一波上行空间。5 a* G% K, x# x1 n* |
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