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[虚拟币交流]
比特币BTC再次突破 87,000 美元——以下是分析师对其价格的预测（转）
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比特币[BTC]在复活节反弹期间回升至8.7万美元，专家认为这与美元走弱有关。VanEck数字资产研究主管Mathew Sigel在最近的一份( A$ x8 g, c% u m
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报告中特别强调了这一论断。0 @6 j+ p) i. V+ U
美元抛售推高比特币
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+ s; W0 b+ n* S" ]1 X( z. {Galaxy 研究主管 Alex Thorn 和 Bitwise 的 Andre Dragosch 也持有类似观点。事实上，Dragosch补充说，美元指数 (DXY) 跌至 2022 年以0 ]$ }5 }7 c" K* y7 q: r4 H& q0 o3 Z3 ]
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来的最低水平。6 Q7 |4 H- x- {1 m7 k& a
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“看起来，比特币正因美元持续疲软而上涨。美元指数刚刚触及2022年3月以来的最低水平。”
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( s* T; H$ e! L* D! ^: ]根据附图，比特币的价格走势与美元指数呈负相关。因此，在唐纳德·特朗普总统威胁解雇美联储主席杰罗姆·鲍威尔的推动下，美元指7 a0 G! T# f1 A+ ?8 K; [/ T9 [0 N
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数走弱（从100美元跌至97美元），从而推动了加密货币的上涨。) W/ n! K9 ~* L7 ?; c: s
& T$ S/ |3 y" f$ v6 KAmberdata 的 Greg Madini 补充道，特朗普的举动“威胁到美联储的独立性”，而鲍威尔的继任者将引发通胀。Magadini补充道，这将推" F6 f* o9 c; A. T: B, t/ ~
' b! g% g7 u4 B9 j( w9 O高黄金和比特币的价格。$ _% q4 t: h" Y3 L
6 J, U1 k2 @5 x: k$ _下周我们将迎来美联储褐皮书发布，多位美联储理事也将发表讲话。任何威胁美联储独立性的言论都可能成为黄金和比特币上涨的催化( B# k' c7 ~' c& R4 f
; {! n$ i! v) X7 d4 H1 `( r i) K剂。
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- F/ w! r* [' t5 Y# u; `9 U这里值得指出的是，黄金价格在周一再创历史新高（ATH），这是过去几周脱钩之后首次出现与BTC的正相关性。( E" D! z, r! S; a) M+ w5 h
2 W; y: w' _( w这意味着，在关税不确定性的背景下，投资者纷纷涌向黄金和比特币（BTC）作为“避险资产”。大多数交易员和分析师都承认BTC突破
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了8.7万美元。
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) p6 L: G5 m* ]然而，BTC 的上涨是由低现货交易量推动的，需要在美国市场开盘时再次确认。匿名分析师 StockMoney Lizards警告称，5 v6 f' ^* u" a* L0 O' k# N. V) L
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“突破不错，但成交量不大。肯定需要确认。无论如何，你现在还不应该太兴奋。”
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. C0 E! t5 z0 `( y/ e分析师马修·海兰德 (Matthew Hyland)表示，比特币的持续复苏将取决于突破 89,000 美元。/ w0 u: u2 k3 V, M+ n# _6 q
+ }" H0 u; P% U* \1 W' @6 C- j+ e. b“#BTC 多头现在的唯一目标是突破 89,000 美元，创造并确认更高的高点，并确认下行趋势的结束。”
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CryptoQuant 进一步支持了市场复苏的前景，指出当前的价格走势是正常的回调，而非完整的熊市周期。该公司引用了“链上交 L! ]% x4 |% O+ x5 ^( b# j
& d5 L9 w& g" Y+ U9 K2 `2 x易者已实现盈亏保证金”指标来佐证这一观点。
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