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[虚拟币交流]
特朗普关税导致股市暴跌——但比特币早已经历过这一切（转）
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尽管宏观 FUD 不断上升，比特币仍保持在关键的 94,000 美元流动性区间之上。
* |' S0 ?, ~& b# e7 _& d持续的股市疲软可能会冷却企业的支持，对 BTC 的弹性构成关键考验。
# z! u$ `7 T8 ]: x" w5 H0 Q$ z. i7 a特朗普总统的“让美国再次伟大”的口号对于风险资产来说是一把双刃剑。1 [% t8 w i: v/ z
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一方面，他大胆、高举旗帜的民族主义给市场带来了清晰的认识，但他的举动的不可预测性也让市场充满猜测。' c) a$ `) @' O# h# d9 V& M) u X
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进入 比特币[BTC]，在宏观风险再次爆发之际创下历史新高（ATH）。时机？简直乱糟糟的。2 r( P2 W/ v0 M+ g$ J
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现在，BTC 的弹性再次受到压力测试。% |+ s+ ?! T; R& a9 k
9 @8 W1 x7 \7 Q: i. ~1 l但据 AMBCrypto 称，经过数月的利率调整、流动性波动和地缘ZZ噪音，经验丰富的投资者可能已经具备了正确应对这一局面的肌肉记忆。4 h! ?3 Q0 Z) V" w
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D这是否意味着当前的“下跌”是一场精心策划的震荡，聪明的投资者会利用它？
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比特币的信念面临另一场压力考验0 |# \2 E( t6 R8 i
90天的关税休战并没有持续多久。
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从 6 月 1 日开始，恢复对欧盟征收 25% 的关税又回来了——这引发了全球范围内的通胀担忧。- X. D0 T% m% i; I5 R
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自然，比特币做出了反应，大幅下跌 3.79%，收于 106,816 美元。这证实波动性已正式重新进入讨论。退出流动性也紧随其后。( C# ~6 C. n1 V% a/ b
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Glassnode数据显示超过 420k BTC 的成本基础约为 94,000 美元，是本周期中最强劲的链上支撑区之一。
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按当前价格计算，这群人仍然拥有约 14.5% 的未实现收益，因此决定是持有还是退出并不简单。0 L1 j. I S6 w
# x5 B5 h& W4 A* E不过，由于流动性基础如此密集，且价格仅出现小幅下跌，此举可能不那么令人恐慌，而更多是为新一轮逢低买入做准备。: F( m7 p8 M8 M( w6 F! Q: Y; d* \
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正如 AMBCrypto 所预测的那样。/ o8 r) t6 X5 V% P" t/ l
F, e% \+ k" x3 p9 B经典的投资者困境在宏观经济不确定性再度抬头之际重现 |& _, p* y$ {. C8 `3 c* L3 L7 N, i- C
受到关税打击的不仅仅是欧盟，就连苹果公司 (AAPL) 也受到了冲击。* l( u, V3 L6 ^0 ^! Z- B
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针对这家市值2.9万亿美元的巨头，美国将于6月1日起对苹果征收25%的新关税。尽管谈判窗口仍然存在，但假设苹果愿意配合特朗普的提议，市场并未等待解决方案。
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" o4 O2 c$ u g( v; \0 O反应如何？迅速而残酷。
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短短五个交易日内，标准普尔500指数的市值蒸发了1.5万亿美元。与此同时，苹果延续了连续下跌的势头，过去10天从212美元下跌了近8%。* S/ ]! H4 ~- @& g& n6 s4 D9 h
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这有什么大不了的？随着股市遭受打击，企业资金可能会转向比特币。# P2 u( `" F6 O* R' Y0 `
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随着风险资本的流动，BTC 有望上涨，而 Michael Saylor 的声音支持只会火上浇油。) H. n1 S1 f0 q& w1 Z4 M) V
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