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[lastpost] => 2813475 币安币单日暴跌4.2%背后：威廉指标超卖警报与626美元关口争夺战（转） 1773153143 小钱儿
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[虚拟币交流]
比特币维持在 10.5 万美元以上：长期投资者会推动 BTC 的下一轮反弹吗？（转）
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长期持有者依然坚定持有，比特币仍处于积累阶段。
2 z3 O( y5 |8 d2 z, ?现货市场采购活动增强了现有的看涨情绪。0 P7 ^; x# D. b# x0 R: e4 q }
在过去的24小时内，比特币[BTC]价格上涨 1.12%，截至发稿时交易价格超过 105,000 美元。1 [$ J/ v" G; }" {9 v$ c/ \: f1 G
+ ?( t0 z, o6 P) m/ S X9 u, x尽管市场普遍动荡，但比特币价格依然保持坚挺，这主要得益于长期持有者的积极参与。AMBCrypto 分析了这一趋势是否可持续。
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2 ?) a6 u4 F& \' y9 t长期持有者没有抛售迹象0 a9 D& |, e U7 u( f0 m& `$ N
比特币的 RHODL 比率（将长期持有者（6 个月至 2 年）与短期持有者（1 天至 3 个月）进行比较）显示后者仍在持有。3 [: F" m, G( E) ~; D
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值得注意的是，RHODL 比率目前低于 2，低于 2024 年的高点，表明长期抛售压力仍然很小。
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截至发稿时，重要市场指标普尔倍数 (Puell Multiple) 显示读数低于 1.40。
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^- H! `; C# `5 r6 X9 Z. A6 p这一指标很重要，因为它表明机构和现货市场投资者正在利用积累阶段来购买资产。
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从历史上看，当普尔倍数保持在 1.40 水平以下时，它与积累期一致 - 表明比特币具有更大的上涨潜力。$ b8 | J+ l) P+ T+ @
9 A9 n- j9 ]( N; a. J. X& A5 ~( q3 bAMBCrypto 进一步评估市场参与者是否正在积累或分配资产。9 z# C' T( i. w( x% R
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现货和传统投资者购买比特币的人数下降. Y; D5 s# ~) C8 [( X/ m' U
现货市场活动和传统投资者都增加了购买活动。3 w& R% k" j. A+ ], B( R
/ }( ? X4 D, X! w% X过去24小时内，现货市场投资者购买比特币的金额为6055万美元。然而，这是过去五天以来的最低单日购买量。" Y) m( o3 P: l' g6 }# d7 J
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与此同时，传统投资者支出 3.017 亿美元，创下五天购买量最高的记录之一。
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; M6 k) ^+ N! i; J- z& Q. B% ~( Q此项活动证实，投资者正试图利用当前 105,000 美元的价格水平，根据 Puell Multiple，这仍被视为折扣。* n, P/ N7 Y. p4 g' B2 w: t3 @
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问题依然存在：所有细分市场都会遵循积累趋势吗？AMBCrypto 进行了更深入的挖掘，发现了更多见解。
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加密基金进入市场：供应紧缩？
* ]7 h0 A1 A4 h" p截至发稿时，基金市场溢价显示加密投资基金也在购买比特币。
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! @7 p" P- D' I: ?0 ?1 y当基金市场溢价进入图表上的正值区域时（目前为 0.1），就会发生买入。3 _4 X! G! w5 }1 q
& d# T$ I" Y0 E& J% a' d+ ]该指标的持续上升表明，比特币可能会保持其上涨趋势，尤其是与其他增持指标一起来看时。这也增加了供应紧缩的可能性。* U( s i% [% v0 R4 i/ a& t
* U8 o. n7 U m4 C# M# H3 W3 H0 n当需求超过供应时，就会出现供应紧缩，从而推高资产价格。: s4 t9 D$ X. t- g
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