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[lastpost] => 2769239 币圈地震，爆仓17亿，下一次风暴何时来？（转） 1758885382 g9527
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[虚拟币交流]
比特币交易员发出“超买”警告 比特币价格瞄准8.4万美元（转）
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2 P# {* r( [" F8 R) W" A 比特币（BTC）在第一季度的最后一个华尔街交易日中有所走高，但比特币价格观点远未确信空头已经失去控制。0 r/ X8 d: @+ ?2 D
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3月31日华尔街开盘时段，比特币价格小幅走高，尽管交易者对短期走势仍持风险规避态度。
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5 ` z5 Z* |! i4 Q2 ? 比特币相对强弱指数（RSI）暗示跌势或将延续
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Cointelegraph Markets Pro与TradingView数据显示，Bitstamp交易所BTC/USD交易对当日上涨1.5%，最高触及8.3914万美元。: Q/ z3 v' T+ ^! R2 H9 l8 u. z7 U# U
: e* y: @ ]0 J, Y4 p# B' C 尽管美股开盘走低，但在季度收盘前的最后几小时，比特币仍迎来期待已久的反弹。
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市场动能持续受4月2日即将生效的美国新关税政策影响，黄金在创下3128美元/盎司历史新高后亦出现回落。
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; D% k( a2 t! p/ u+ N$ ? 针对比特币价格走势，多数市场参与者仍持谨慎态度。
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知名交易员Roman在最新X平台分析中针对4小时BTC/USD图表指出：“正在重新测试我们关注的关键84，000美元区域”。他在引用相对强弱指数（RSI）时预测，
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价格或将回落至更接近80，000美元关口的水平。
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“从短期框架（LTF）看，随着下行突破和看跌回测完成，我认为价格将开始走低，”Roman补充道，“同时RSI正在回测50中轴，而随机指标已显示超买。更高时间
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3 {, p# k2 I0 e4 ] Q) j% f% D' ?框架（HTF）同样呈现看跌倾向。”/ d# |. ?# [3 V7 { |! l: ?
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, Q0 ?' f* y$ m* u+ V6 Z 知名交易分析师Rekt Capital进一步解读RSI信号，指出比特币在突破数月下降趋势线后，正在日线级别回测支撑位。3 x. O+ q2 l& o0 x. y3 C Q7 Z
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“$BTC的RSI正试图将下降趋势线转化为支撑位，同时价格走势也面临下降趋势压力，”他向X平台粉丝总结道，“若RSI能成功守住趋势线支撑．．．将显示市场正在
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' {; g, S: V+ Z+ M( s9 y. v积蓄动能，价格有望突破现行下降通道。”/ U( h& H: t6 }4 b. v
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$ Y/ \) r/ D' m 早前Cointelegraph报道指出，多项比特币价格指标共同勾勒出当前牛市阶段的疲软态势，暗示回调行情或将延续。
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与此同时，各预测平台给出的BTC目标价位已下探至6.5万美元，部分模型甚至显示更低预期。
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; A# @( F: Q/ Z7 j- l7 c0 v 比特币价格分析显现与2024年末相似走势
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/ m; Z. N/ e/ f! v6 h4 @ 当前3月及第一季度的整体表现均未达市场预期。
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监测平台CoinGlass数据显示，在缺乏上行催化剂的背景下，截至发稿时BTC/USD年内累计下跌10.8%，3月单月跌幅达1.1%。
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该报告特别强调了比特币与美股日益增强的关联性：“尽管市场动荡，但近几周价格走势已在7.8万至8.8万美元区间形成整理格局。值得注意的是，8 k' [4 b7 y4 U
& i0 d( @6 _* y% d市场恐慌性抛售迹象正在缓解——反应性卖盘减少，而长期持有者已重启积累模式。”
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