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[lastpost] => 2765539 美联储降息预期升温！加密货币又迎来新一轮上涨，爆仓人数超过15万人，近八成为空.... 1757908158 whywhy
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[虚拟币资讯]
币世界余勋6.8行情虽熊 但低点支撑强硬 不予低位追空 相反埋伏短多长多 6月整体看修复
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活跃币:
策小分:
总在线: 分钟
本月在线: 分钟
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近几日行情受消息影响、振幅较大。
* n# G& C% V+ p- ~0 ?! H9 H但综合，下不破29000、上不过32000.
. X; e3 M6 ]0 l. _依旧处于底部箱体阶段！
* i4 n3 Q* b- u* O3 g2 Z( u# H其中也看出上涨、不具备连续性！
. x* E1 H5 O, [$ Y极易走出老韭菜口中的画门行情、 $ L/ ^1 M4 L e; v. ]
所以操作上、尽可能避免追涨杀跌！ , y/ t \* }, M$ M
但可在空间内、逢日线高低峰值附近进行短线布局。
8 n4 a4 X$ b1 q) X% H& o; l3 m* |技术面补充、
' E# p3 Z7 g0 V# D& W. z0 v在5.12创出低于5.19的26700低点后、 + `3 J. b3 T( U% C, e3 J& ]6 @8 H4 |8 Z
一月以来行情基本未再失守28000点， . V- k$ `: z$ ?4 t8 ?0 Z! m+ C/ O
而以太多次坚挺于2700上方、
+ H3 W9 o7 I4 ^ o充分说明这两个支撑具有极强参考性！
9 X7 ?2 _$ V& N, I9 `' V% h也说明，该区域不具备更大抛压。 . w! S, K5 G3 }/ k5 L% N2 c) ^
所以从趋势看，在6-8月间，未出现大于50基点，市场低点基本止于此。 5 |* E- D# N7 _9 f) N" V
那长线来看、这两个点位，正是布局长线时机。
# n7 P. N1 H5 O( _& H z短线也可以此为据、
: M# l, m! T; Z7 a9 D（这也是近半月未做短空、）
# C0 w4 p- v( q/ R" I消息上、
+ L& R/ D! n, e+ \8 [# H除bnb调查事件、 , ^; G' a/ `% q& e+ o, x
近期强调最多、是多部门建议加速规范加密JG。 - m8 w5 E; E" L# ^* D3 k* @5 ?
紧密形成国际合作。
{# Z7 t2 {8 H% b* Q& W* Z整体偏正面，有助于大饼登堂入室、 ; y6 a" M5 ?( `3 D9 n. d
综上、整体来看、 ' v8 o l+ V: @& J3 D. O6 t
市场上半年经历过多利空，行情一直低迷。
4 A1 e! D, A( A但看好下半年，最大问题“膨胀”得到控制。
3 l, Q0 L' O3 E7 s# h且美股回温补涨、（一般加息过后、美股反涨7%-15%）
$ i Q# a1 ? ~' k- y. Q$ i! `$ Q那在9-10月开始降息。后续再停止缩表。
/ w/ Y: |, ]/ f9 D; f; o* C" `市场必然迎来一轮较强涨幅。
- l$ O. ~+ f' E4 m4 b1 i, C而六月、个人是不看好有更大利空出现。
+ t j# ]% f. D4 p七月、即使同步加息50基点。 $ k/ }4 v- \9 q$ J8 J
个人认为、市场可承受！
- L2 U1 _8 w+ \同幅度利空，市场再次经历，幅度必大打折扣。
% p# J. `/ @( N6 l$ h9 C: {, s近期重点关注周五、5月末季调cpi利率。
( ], h& X) |, k# X日内价格处于平均振幅偏中轨、（多空不宜） 4 e- R3 ^: U8 \
大饼建议回踩4小时低点
" s |% g# O0 P# ?3 z9 U29900激进接多 5 c5 b- {& p7 k3 z* P0 X: |0 t8 e
29650补仓 6 |5 X# ^. g! g/ I: c
防守29300 2 Z$ `" {8 X& E# F4 y+ \& V, S9 H
目标看行情修复至30800-31500-32000 : ~9 F, J) y* w; k' J7 _ L0 M
以太回踩1768激进接多
& H+ h6 O' a3 u3 J% e1745补仓 , s( P" L. r; O& E
防守1720 ( J* J( R7 Q s1 ~" i+ H. d- Y: n& h
目标看行情修复至1850-1870-1900 1 F( Q; }1 u1 j& D
观点不变，熊市强硬支撑区不做追空。 . `9 k# S2 y. }/ R
短中线，依旧以低多为主。突破则留。反之做短。
9 \+ Y/ s# f& R/ H看好7月加息前，市场出现阶段修复。 6 j. _3 ]2 W' I2 m; @7 Y
在7月逼近出现小幅度回撤，直至8-10月、开始较大单边涨幅。 8 K% O8 S$ h" A6 S
切记注意长线进场时机。
b9 z' [: ?! U3 I% G5 y来源：金色财经 |
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