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[1603] => 虚拟币交流
[1753] => 数字钱包
[1754] => 虚拟币存提
[1755] => 交易所
[1655] => 虚拟币资讯
[1756] => 银行卡
[1757] => 第三方支付
[1760] => 币圈大佬
[1758] => 科技前沿
[1759] => 天策嗨聊
[1661] => 入驻合作
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[lastpost] => 2769621 XPL这个币振幅还是相当的大了 1759040845 rainwang
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上次分享了第一篇,这次继续来分享第二篇。 , x0 k5 D7 f- H' v
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5. 废话的不对称原则
5 e8 l5 w; |; y反驳废话所需的能量比产生废话要大一个数量级。
- |# P- p) R! E4 \: }9 q7 S' L
; U0 z( [& k$ I& b/ V回想: 写 luna 的优点=成千的点赞。7 y$ J7 s" R8 R* [4 c
3 M; C8 G, A% O) M5 v$ _0 C4 u
写 luna 的缺点=无数的敌人和谩骂。
0 @- ]" T7 C7 ?# o; n' T
0 U$ P- v- M1 T+ e) r" ?$ B每个周期,都会有邪教类型的项目,人们无视核心,只因利益一致而拼死维护。
" l3 x p; C. d) p9 O' u- W9 W% |- Q3 ^. {
而对抗它们需要太多的精力。
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6.风险不可知原则(黑天鹅)8 U% V, v k1 d2 z) w& g/ K
被知道的风险:智能合约漏洞。7 h1 d$ z% O! f# H9 _
5 S/ t' S7 h! T% r" @
不可知的风险:911、3箭崩溃等。
+ ~" ~1 b4 K2 E5 p! c, \3 { D7 m. B. O7 @! [. m" |8 S1 g% U
因为不可知的风险一直存在,只有多样化才能防范。
5 S/ s' ^5 X) q2 f4 O% f: i$ z7 ?0 p5 P( M% ^& y
想象一下罕见事件:- S: c/ X; W3 X, a9 ~5 q4 T
" ~ B& U6 ?. ] X& l+ P" C. I
• 中本聪的钱包苏醒
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$ m0 D* G' t( S7 w• 核打击
6 s9 q4 Y. \2 T. P4 r! e& }/ I4 V) c/ r0 g }6 Z+ `3 D" d
我们倾向于低估黑天鹅的影响!4 Y3 l. t. I( i, B1 g! F
# q" |) N" B6 s& K& A7.二八定律
- u9 P" {1 V: N$ c! _在币圈:
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80% 的收入来自 20% 的协议。
! s! R* N" m7 J& U; L) t
: V& u& x! I- v0 z9 [1 \( B80%的利润被20%的人拿走。
! _6 j5 Q, m$ ~+ o2 J6 L( D7 ]4 R0 q& F7 S1 Y
我们大多数时候是8,而不是2,时刻警惕这一点。
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8.网络效应
, c& ~) \+ e( A8 ^8 E! r产品随着更多用户加入而更有价值。
' ]! r7 Q+ s9 Z& ~- X
( O" I; \7 A; `7 V3 H8 m& P5 I想想脸书如果没人使用会有什么价值?6 o8 ~! k9 m% q
$ W7 i( L* y5 T+ N2 i! V+ k7 w9 @一个产品产生了网络效应,就成为了护城河。
) ~+ @$ `6 Z9 m6 ]# S9 w1 `+ q) U! M" b
投资时,要考虑什么产品能产生护城河。 往往只有一个产品能获胜。
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