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[体育菠菜心得方法] 判断大球的一点粗浅经验
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判断大球的一点粗浅经验 5 d: E; E4 E$ x% N( m

0 k$ n  n+ D: d9 k1)分析欧赔,选出倾向分胜负的组合.比如 2.4     3.1    2.6这样两头低中间高之类的.
0 ^2 ^1 H8 m% ~5 a+ B2)MSO以前曾开发过一个标盘理论配置表,在理论与方法的帖子里有,拿那个配置表和博彩公司开出的赔率进行比较,剔除掉那些平局赔率偏低的场次.比如说在英超联赛里,1.6的主胜可能要配到3.4左右的平局赔率,如果博彩公司只给出3.2的数值,平局的可能性就相对较大,平局出大球的概率相对较低.当然这个标盘判断不一定要那么精确,有个大概的判断就可以了.
9 U$ a, S- f* U$ R  Q3 C3)亚盘方面对上下盘做个大概的判断,一般来说上盘容易出大,下盘容易出小.比如有些大球盘若明显担心打不出,就不要买大球.另外需要注意的一点就是,大小球赔率一般是围绕让球盘赔率服务的,比如说一个一球盘以上的深盘,大球赔率肯定是较低的.所以不要单纯去依据大小球赔率来做判断.8 ^3 c9 E4 N$ c" F8 S3 H. K7 D
以上是赔率方面需要注意的地方,但是个人觉得判断大小球更多的还是需要对基本面的了解.+ [, g7 w+ N* O" r& E+ E
a)首先看一下主队主场得失球数和客队客场得失球数,攻强守弱的队伍当然较攻守平衡或攻弱守强的队伍更容易出大球.具体怎么判断呢?比方说主队在主场有15场比赛,如果得失球数均在20个以内,则为攻击力一般防守也不差,较难出大球.若得失球数均在30个左右,那就是典型的攻强守弱,得球多失球也多,容易出大球.另外一种就是得球在30个左右,失球在15个左右,这是攻强守也强,能否出大球则较难把握.客队客场的判断方法也是一样.
" d. B" k# y1 e1 f% d+ ?1 l; h' qb)看球队近6轮和近3轮的得失球状态,一个球队的进球能力也是有波动的.若连续出了5轮或多6轮大球,则要提防出小球,不过这个概率不象亚洲盘连输五六个盘后要反弹的概率那么明显,毕竟庄家在大小球方面的平衡性没有亚洲盘上要求的那么高./ }5 ~$ M3 J! T9 v8 A3 F  J) L
c)很重要的一点,看球队的战意.因为战意决定球队采取以攻为主还是以守为主的战术.若两个队都想全取三分,则容易出大球,若一方想攻一方想守,则相对较难.另外各个联赛的特点也不同,象德甲和英甲容易出大球,.意甲和法甲容易出小球等,这些特点都可以自己通过统计去发现.
! K: o. i$ h, K1 t; Z4)球队风格,象德甲的费雷堡 沃而夫斯堡之类的队伍就是只喜欢进攻不喜欢防守的队伍,出大球的概率自然就大.另外就是大联赛有走地的场次相对容易出大球一些,毕竟庄家需要通过进球以及红黄牌等手段来诱导注码的流向.
' `: T$ z0 V, n; ]! b; R' H* q: g5)其他一些就是天气,前锋伤停,是否一周双赛等等一些因素了.罗罗唆唆写了这么多,好象很繁琐,但实际判断的时候还是要不了多少时间的,上面这么多条,分析的时候可能几分钟就可以完成.另外哪些球队的哪些队伍容易出大球或小球,它们的波动特点是怎么样的,各位朋友在联赛结束后花点时间去做统计,自会有所发现和收获.很多朋友都说博彩很难赢到钱,不过只要肯下功夫,比别人多付出一点,还是能有一些收益的.
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2#
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3#
帖子重了!!!
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4#
感谢楼主的分享,让我又学到东西了!:handshake
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5#
主题回复处广告图案-天策传媒
总结是必须的
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支持一下楼主发帖
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7#
是重复发帖,没有站内搜索
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8#
新人来学习下,谢谢楼主。
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9#
谢谢楼主的心得分享!
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10#
谢谢楼主分享,学习学习。
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:)新人来学习下,谢谢楼主。
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多谢楼主无私分享
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