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[lastpost] => 2770933 一名外卖员卷入的55亿英镑骗局,英国史上最大加密货币洗钱案(转) 1759490431 lvaeyou
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周末已经到来,通常这些时期都是大幅下跌的时期。那么这次会发生什么呢?比特币价格无法收于 30,400 美元区域上方,因此前景为负面。然而,投资者需要做好准备,应对波动性加剧时触及的水平。0 ^$ l# A) B4 ]' b: ?3 }4 F$ [/ {% x
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sDrye4dUTjrMgbS1ezDZ303ppmWle2Aj9eYZBYJN.png
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比特币(BTC)图表分析) e& W6 e/ M1 c0 \" {& B: g) f0 N
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比特币仍停留在窄幅区间内,继续考验投资者的耐心。在经历了这样的无聊时期之后,我们已经习惯了看到重大的变动,所以没有必要灰心丧气。Glassnode 最新的每周公报强调,比特币的整合已经缩小了布林带,两者的差距仅为 4.2%。参考各种链上指标,作者得出的结论是,投资者不愿出售,这种情况类似于“2016年和2019-20年等市场状况波动”的时期。" r5 i Q: J1 @& F) b
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尽管比特币短期前景不明朗,但长期趋势依然向上。Capriole Investments创始人查尔斯·爱德华兹 (Charles Edwards)表示,允许贝莱德申请交易所交易基金可以“促进机构将比特币纳入资产负债表”。0 f& c9 F3 [0 G
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自 7 月 17 日以来,比特币的交易价格一直低于 20 天指数移动平均线(约 30,400 美元),这是一个负面信号。这表明当前水平没有激进的买盘。7 月 20 日,多头将价格推高至 20 日均线上方,但烛台上的长影线显示更高水平的抛售压力。空头将很难在接下来的几个小时内将价格拉至 29,500 美元以下。& u7 y/ y# }0 u
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jitBEU6nLm1kekhWhXuUa6nvNdO4MUr7gidws9qA.png9 [( a6 g) Z% I# t8 d( q" Q; g* r
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在看跌情况下,价格可能会跌至 28,869 美元(50 天简单移动平均线),甚至 27,500 美元。相反,如果价格大幅上涨并突破 20 日均线,我们将看到该货币对攀升至 31,000 美元和 32,400 美元。
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下周即将召开的美联储会议和其他负面因素表明,目前看跌情景的可能性更大。
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以太坊(ETH)图表分析& D W, O; F7 D3 h/ P
就在价格突破2000美元时,比特币再次拉低了以太坊(ETH)。虽然许多山寨币已经从底部恢复了 200% 以上,但令人沮丧的是,尽管由于负通胀,抵押率不断上升,交易所的供应量也在减少,但 ETH 的价格仍然受到影响。然而,对于长期投资者来说,重要的是明天的价格。% R( g( S2 F5 o6 Z3 p0 L, K
+ X) R' z( {& Z$ b) [( ZETH交易价格接近 20 日均线(1,896 美元)。这表明多头和空头之间存在平衡。下行方面值得关注的重要支撑是 50 日移动平均线(1,854 美元)区域。如果突破该水平,我们可能会看到 1,800 美元和 1,700 美元的价格。短期内的最终底部将在 1,626 美元左右。) N! I8 Z# u: _5 H+ G9 v7 f
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; s3 _/ E8 r l- @相反,如果价格从当前水平或 50 日移动平均线上涨并突破 2,000 美元,则可能会攀升至 2,141 美元和 2,200 美元。# _- l6 V& W k6 Y
0 T' l# [+ I) z本周末可能发生的负面事件可能会导致BTC和 ETH触及最初的支撑位。更大规模的抛售可能导致测试更低的支撑位。特别是对于山寨币投资者来说,为上述 BTC 和 ETH 在未来 48 小时内可能出现的突破做好准备似乎是有益的。. C/ ~! x8 C+ f: A4 W& f; ?! d1 S
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