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[体育菠菜心得方法] [转]走地边缘理论探讨一
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关于走地的理论,我以桥牌举过例,就是要找到最大机会的打法,但桥牌领域也存在边缘理论,就是某些原理的不确定性,所以我认为真正要下好走地,反而不是采取多种方法,四处出击那种,而是以一个固定技巧,耐心等待,直到符合你设定条件的目标比赛出现,这样可能更好。( O$ E6 s7 Z! p1 q8 p
比如现在很流行的等上半场大小球降到半球后,再投大球的做法,每一个玩家都有自己的分析,他不认为投半球的大球是乱来,是碰运气的,肯定的,有一段时间这样去投大球是很容易赢的。但也会碰到这样的情况,同样是从同一联赛开打的比赛中精选一到两场投注,结果其它的比赛都打出了,或者大部分打出了,自己精选的比赛还没有入球,于是开始怀疑自己的分析是否正确(当然有可能是不正确的,看你用的是什么方法),有时候打不出来是运气不佳,这都有可能。如果你固定用这种模式去投走地,而不被其它的诱惑,我认为只要方法得当,在获得比赛的专业军情分析基础上,做出的大球判断,也是会赢利的。什么是诱惑? 就是当你使用多种投走地的方法,比如,发现强队0比2落后,让一球或一球球半,甚至是半一,去投强队;发现有红牌,于是投没有红牌的球队(通常是主队),其实庄家没那么“倒霉”,这种比赛会有让你赢的时候,但也往往有不赢的时候,强队未必就追得回,有红牌的球队还常常进球,出这种意外结果的比赛越多,庄家获利越丰,.因此不是什么便宜都可以占的。
4 V; h, ?- a, ~7 {0 B# r0 e, m结论:如果你有一种比较正确的投注方法,如果你是以赢利为目的,理论上你就应该坚持这种投注,而不要采取更多的方法。- e- D* u: g$ O: C+ z1 S
说明一下,我都做不到这一点,因为我认为自己技术不错,技巧比较多,让我一晚上什么都不干,就等着自己设定条件的比赛出现,而且还是单一的技巧,没有什么赢思,没有多少乐趣可言。' ?; }& V6 ~/ V( g% K9 k9 u
但是对于已经输不起的玩家,或者纯粹是以赢利为目的的玩家,就必须要考虑理论问题,当然关于有多少是可行的走地投注,还要经过探讨,这样才能给玩家提供思路,让玩家选择一款适合自己的投注,英国早有专家说过,博彩最大的难关是心理关,每一个玩家对于方法都有心理承受的问题,比如我做走地推荐,有些玩家觉得好,有的玩家就看不懂无法接受,关于边缘理论,下一周我们再接着讨论。
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:) :( :D :'( :@ :o
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:hug: :victory: :time: :kiss: :handshake: :call:
:) :( :D :'( :@ :o
:P :$ ;P :L :Q :lol
:loveliness: :funk: :curse: :dizzy: :shutup: :sleepy:
:hug: :victory: :time: :kiss: :handshake: :call:
:hug: :victory:
:) :( :D :'( :@ :o
:P :$ ;P :L :Q :lol
:loveliness: :funk: :curse: :dizzy: :shutup: :sleepy:
:hug: :victory: :time: :kiss: :handshake: :call:
:hug: :victory: :time: :kiss: :handshake: :call:
:hug: :victory: :time: :kiss: :handshake: :call:
:hug: :victory: :time: :kiss: :handshake: :call:
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