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[lastpost] => 2818865 英国前财政大臣支持比特币作为失败系统的替代方案。（转） 1775369178 jackcool1011
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比特币最近甚至大幅跑赢了自10月底以来一直走高的道琼斯工业平均指数和标普500指数。 , s; S. E; R. k; F0 S6 m" N# t
3 B7 C( u" L( X监管机构有望很快批准首只现货比特币交易所交易基金(ETF)是比特币上涨背后的主要推动力，6 P4 C7 H3 q3 I. C3 `8 P
4 D- M* y0 L+ p1 d* z专家预测，这将引发投资者对数字资产的新一轮兴趣。
9 F" i& {! q4 p: w. b
. E7 `! |3 s) N1 Y* Q1 J; ]有关美联储明年将多次降息的预期升温也给比特币带来提振，利率下降通常利好比特币和科技& R4 c) W8 ]$ I* \6 B5 l
# V/ C( V# N* B% a* b1 j
股等风险较高的投资。
6 |/ l8 T: b C* ?8 q o* |! O
* p+ c+ W. d8 X2 v& t. s8 I+ Q芝加哥商品交易所(CME)的美联储观察(FedWatch)工具显示，联邦基金期货交易员预计，美联储
$ r5 f- W1 X2 p* `3 M/ e' P# ]" q+ l. B6 ]/ A% S
明年3月降息25个基点的概率超过50%，高于一周前的21.5%。 & s& q3 c6 P: K8 d1 b( b
2 A. l, O q; X% M
现在的问题是，比特币接下来会怎么走？除了供应和需求之外，比特别几乎没有什么基本面驱动. }/ n# o, V2 ?1 x
7 x- T8 v% K! ?0 K3 b
因素，但分析人士认为，比特币还有更大的上涨空间。 * W7 O+ K! L7 e
2 V; T7 N. t5 T1 r! b9 x从技术面来看，比特币在过去被证明波动非常大的一个区间内拥有上涨动能。
- ]$ k+ D4 S5 \. z4 |" V( R# L% t2 \+ Z) A
更广泛地来看，虽然比特币有进入超买区域的风险，但交易数据显示，交易量仍然相对低迷，因此8 B2 M' u* b J& r) a: d5 ~. f
$ z, c4 H7 C( k) N3 f) g仍有许多交易商可能买入。
) s, V6 T& J ^; A/ W" ~. U5 G4 ~9 M& Y: ]
库普齐克维奇说：“越来越多的投资者会因为‘害怕错过’(FOMO)而买入。”FOMO是加密货币最强大的
2 ^1 O j! v( @: k4 s6 c
" m4 P; J0 l9 `6 b* S; Z1 x推动力之一。 - F8 F- N; p( r/ D
- v6 Z" b+ a# b: E9 o4 {- @2 Q02
' g& o4 m. ^8 G; [ K6 s, l
% G- d @& \) r6 t( C有证据显示，许多散户和机构交易员仍在离场观望，近期的上涨可能会吸引更多人买入。
7 f6 {7 `2 Y9 @' H, ^' Q9 H3 V: P
需求增加的同时，比特币供应紧张——许多长期持有者不愿卖出，价格可能还会走高。 8 Q* U5 |* q1 W* ]6 R. a
9 z- T' J( _1 r" [. G
加密金融服务公司Galaxy Digital的研究主管亚历克斯·索恩(Alex Thorn)说：“这次反弹让很多感兴趣& C1 q, Z% G4 r" J7 E
" Y ^ |% y+ D8 t$ ~ m; \" l1 r, R# x的人离场观望，他们可能会随后参与进来。虽然最近已经大幅上涨，但比特币仍有继续上涨的空间。”
$ m, c0 N6 p) {, ?; m( P/ ^7 z7 R6 s2 Y! U$ w( N
数字资产基金ProChain Capital总裁兼联合创始人大卫·塔威尔(David Tawil)预计，比特币将持续反弹至
6 O; y4 } X. g* n
) p$ H+ G9 u6 B5 G( m6 t今年年底，比特币ETF获批时，价格达到4.7万美元的高位。
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