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[lastpost] => 2752631 64%的美国投资者认为加密货币存在极高风险 女性及年长者参与度低-转 1753719061 NBA专家
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K33 Research的研究负责人Vetle Lunde于4月30日在一个惊人的加密X邮报中指出，加密货币7天的波动率刚刚达到了563天的低点。
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BTC 7天波动率点击563天低pic.twitter.com/9xvvQ3t6N71 S6 x/ k/ F, h! @* ~8 t8 }
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-Vetle Lunde（@vetlelunde）2025年4月30日
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+ N, a+ R' Q- n' l3 \同时，对美元的30天比特币价格波动稳步下降。根据Bitbo和TheBlock的数据，自2011年以来，BTC的波动率一直在退化。$ i: _$ W5 K5 B3 k
2 I V) ]+ d6 c2 L- |$ N# \低比特币的波动率：看涨还是看跌？# V* i4 M* i( x0 Q3 k- U4 m; C
低波动性可能是加密货币和库存的看跌。这是因为在牛市上，价格往往会随着更多的数量而上升，并突然纠正。
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结果，一些交易者可能将低波动率解释为卖出或等待信号。但是，比特币图表技术在华尔街资金和加密交易所进行的激烈的BTC集会上取得了里程碑式的记录。9 A5 ^" W) m4 A
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因此，可能很难将其作为看跌迹象。
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7 i& u, _4 }5 {3 l取而代之的是，低BTC波动率可能只是比特币现在拥有如此高的市值的结果，即五月开始的2万亿美元档次，流动性运行更加顺利。鲸鱼大小的参与者不再对曾经拥有的整体市场产生挥发性飞溅效应。
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$ h9 Z" M8 F w3 R" G0 R. }# S7 N6 v保真度：许多股票比BTC更波动
, N! P: b1 h- c: B' f总体而言，这是比特币的看涨里程碑。这意味着该网络的资本化已经增长了令人震惊的速度，以至于现在它不像海洋中的一条小船一样上下摆动。取而代之的是，它更像是一个大型，良好且庄重的工艺。1 Z! q* i+ M2 [7 a, c( b
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去年的忠实数字资产研究研究指出关于BTC价格波动的一些有趣的事实，例如：“比特币是波动的，但比许多流行的大型股票股票更少。”
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) u9 H: B$ A+ r& l总部位于波士顿的大型投资公司还表示：“比特币目前的波动率不及33个标准普尔500股股票，而到2023年下半年，比特币的波动率高92个标准普尔500股。”; ~6 s- q" d( A) Y' H) I
: w; a3 k; L' o" L- z* l+ g* S' J该报告确定了一个预测：“比特币的波动率下降了，预计将继续这样做。”同时，加密价格4月初低于75,000美元之后，人们一直在迅速增长，并敲打了100,000美元的门。
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