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K33 Research的研究负责人Vetle Lunde于4月30日在一个惊人的加密X邮报中指出，加密货币7天的波动率刚刚达到了563天的低点。0 P8 `- p6 s+ ~' w
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BTC 7天波动率点击563天低pic.twitter.com/9xvvQ3t6N7
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-Vetle Lunde（@vetlelunde）2025年4月30日* w; Y+ l1 W4 |; H( c; N/ b7 d
8 {& T' i; {) \% \0 M6 m& G& p同时，对美元的30天比特币价格波动稳步下降。根据Bitbo和TheBlock的数据，自2011年以来，BTC的波动率一直在退化。- D# F) u# u7 i
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低比特币的波动率：看涨还是看跌？
' V- ~: z7 U- w& f, W& `# v3 \6 d0 I低波动性可能是加密货币和库存的看跌。这是因为在牛市上，价格往往会随着更多的数量而上升，并突然纠正。7 m& @. m, E+ H# X E! P+ t
' X4 L* ]( u, ?& B! [结果，一些交易者可能将低波动率解释为卖出或等待信号。但是，比特币图表技术在华尔街资金和加密交易所进行的激烈的BTC集会上取得了里程碑式的记录。
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因此，可能很难将其作为看跌迹象。* Y# \; M0 R" G% ]: J! O2 C3 A- e
: ?+ r* ~& X0 S# H7 V5 ^7 M取而代之的是，低BTC波动率可能只是比特币现在拥有如此高的市值的结果，即五月开始的2万亿美元档次，流动性运行更加顺利。鲸鱼大小的参与者不再对曾经拥有的整体市场产生挥发性飞溅效应。! x. P) C& c! V& M' i9 `7 F$ o
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保真度：许多股票比BTC更波动8 F3 Z% c9 c9 K; M# _) c
总体而言，这是比特币的看涨里程碑。这意味着该网络的资本化已经增长了令人震惊的速度，以至于现在它不像海洋中的一条小船一样上下摆动。取而代之的是，它更像是一个大型，良好且庄重的工艺。
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去年的忠实数字资产研究研究指出关于BTC价格波动的一些有趣的事实，例如：“比特币是波动的，但比许多流行的大型股票股票更少。”8 j& w& A) g- _* q9 X" |' d+ i
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总部位于波士顿的大型投资公司还表示：“比特币目前的波动率不及33个标准普尔500股股票，而到2023年下半年，比特币的波动率高92个标准普尔500股。”
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- q( `) c/ A5 B/ b9 o1 c6 G该报告确定了一个预测：“比特币的波动率下降了，预计将继续这样做。”同时，加密价格4月初低于75,000美元之后，人们一直在迅速增长，并敲打了100,000美元的门。
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